Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 09/08, 23:15

Prediction: Real Potosi vs Blooming

Team pages: Real Potosi · Blooming

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.47Total

Real Potosi1.5

Blooming0.97

1X2

49% 27% 24%

Real Potosi Draw Blooming

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Real Potosi 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LLDWDWWLDW

Blooming 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DLLLWDWDLD

Head-to-head

Real Potosi 2–4 Blooming (6 last)

Blooming1-0Real Potosi
Real Potosi3-1Blooming
Blooming2-1Real Potosi
Real Potosi1-3Blooming
Blooming2-0Real Potosi
Real Potosi5-1Blooming

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Real Potosi 1517 · Blooming 1472

	Real Potosi	Draw	Blooming
Our model	48%	28%	23%
Market	50%	25%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 2.47 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Real Potosi (rating 1517 vs 1472).
H2H favours Blooming: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Real Potosi	Blooming
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 0.9	0.5 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	0.4 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.8	2.2 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.9	4.3 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.60

23.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 2.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Pinn 1.85 ★
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.4% Pinnacle margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
14:57 +26’	1.83	3.60	3.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:46	1.88	3.44	3.51
02:27	1.85▼	3.49▲	3.56▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Potosi 2–0–4 Blooming

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/12/21 Bolivia Apertura	Blooming	1-0 HT 1-0	Real Potosi
14/08/21 Bolivia Apertura	Real Potosi	3-1 HT 1-0	Blooming
04/12/20 Bolivia Apertura	Blooming	2-1 HT 0-0	Real Potosi
26/01/20 Bolivia Apertura	Real Potosi	1-3 HT 0-1	Blooming
11/12/19 Bolivia Clausura	Blooming	2-0 HT 1-0	Real Potosi
18/08/19 Bolivia Clausura	Real Potosi	5-1 HT 4-0	Blooming

Standings · Bolivia Primera Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Always Ready	13	9	3	1	28	6	30
2	The Strongest	13	7	6	0	20	12	27
3	Bolivar	13	7	3	3	28	13	24
4	Club Aurora	13	5	7	1	21	15	22
5	Guabira	14	6	3	5	23	26	21
6	Real Potosi	13	5	5	3	19	10	20
7	Blooming	13	4	6	3	17	14	18
8	Oriente Petrolero	13	5	2	6	17	18	17
9	Real Oruro	14	5	2	7	25	35	17
10	Independiente Petrolero	13	4	4	5	19	20	16
11	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	14	5	1	8	24	29	16
12	Nacional Potosi	13	4	3	6	19	19	15
13	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	13	4	2	7	15	23	14
14	GV San Jose	13	2	6	5	12	18	12
15	Universitario De Vinto	13	3	2	8	17	25	11
16	Real Tomayapo	14	2	3	9	10	31	9

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Real Potosi	Blooming
GV San Jose	0-0 D	1-1 D
Bolivar	1-2 L	0-0 D
Independiente Petrolero	2-1 W	1-3 L
San Antonio Bulo Bulo	5-0 W	0-2 L
The Strongest	0-0 D	1-1 D
Oriente Petrolero	0-2 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 3 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Real Potosi

LLDWDWWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/08	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	2-0	3	6	W
02/08	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
26/07	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-2	3	3	L
22/07	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	2-1	3	2	W
16/07	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	2-0	5-0	6	3	W
12/07	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-1	8	7	D
09/07	Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division	2-1	3-1	4	7	W
10/05	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	2	9	D
01/05	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-2	8	6	L
27/04	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-2	4	6	L

Blooming

DLLLWDWDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
01/08	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-2	5	4	L
26/07	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-1	7	4	D
20/07	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
15/07	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-1	6	8	D
31/05	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-0	3	8	W
28/05	River Plate Copa Sudamericana	0-0	0-3	0	2	L
22/05	Carabobo Copa Sudamericana	0-1	0-2	10	3	L
14/05	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-3	4	4	L
11/05	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	4	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Real Potosi vs Blooming?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Real Potosi win (49%). Probabilities: Real Potosi 49%, draw 27%, Blooming 24%.

How many goals are expected in Real Potosi vs Blooming?

The model expects 2.47 goals (Real Potosi 1.5 · Blooming 0.97), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Real Potosi vs Blooming?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.