Football · Australia South Australia State League 1 · 07/07, 12:00

Prediction: Cove vs Modbury Jets

Expected goals: 3.01 (Cove 1.2 · Modbury Jets 1.81). The model gives 25% home, 24% draw, 51% away. Under 3 goals (52%) and both teams to score (56%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Over its last 10 matches, Cove sits at 4-2-4 (W-D-L), while Modbury Jets arrives on a 5-2-3 run. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Cove won 0 and Modbury Jets 2, with 1 draw.

51%2
25% 24% 51%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cove 1494 · Modbury Jets 1530
CoveDrawModbury Jets
Our model24%25%51%
Market26%22%52%
Estimated total (ours) 3.01 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.01Cove 1.2 · Modbury Jets 1.81
Over / Under 3Under 3 · 52%
BTTSYes · 56%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Modbury Jets: 2-1-0.
  • High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CoveModbury Jets
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.21.6 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.70.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 6.43.8 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.3 / 03.1 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Cove 012 Modbury Jets

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DateHomeScoreAway
14/03/26
Australia South Australia State League 1
Modbury Jets5-0
HT 4-0
Cove
29/04/18
Australia South Australia State League 1
Cove0-1
HT 0-0
Modbury Jets
03/06/17
Australia South Australia State League 1
Modbury Jets1-1Cove

Standings · Australia South Australia State League 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Adelaide Croatia Raiders 171115 462334
2 Fulham United FC 171034 372433
3 Adelaide Olympic 171016 322331
4 Adelaide Atletico 17935 332430
5 Modbury Jets 15843 301328
6 Adelaide Blue Eagles 16835 282327
7 Cumberland United 17818 292325
8 Cove 16736 242424
9 Eastern United 17449 183316
10 Adelaide Cobras 175111 213716
11 Salisbury United 173212 183911
12 South Adelaide 173212 174711

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCoveModbury Jets
Adelaide Atletico 0-0 D 2-1 W
Adelaide Olympic 0-2 L 4-1 W
Eastern United 0-1 L 0-0 D
Adelaide Blue Eagles 1-3 L 1-1 D
Fulham United FC 2-3 L 0-2 L
Adelaide Croatia Raiders 1-1 D 1-3 L
Cumberland United 2-0 W 0-1 L
Adelaide Cobras 2-1 W 2-0 W
South Adelaide 2-1 W 4-1 W
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 4 L 4 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Modbury Jets (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cove

WWWDLLLLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Adelaide Atletico
Australia South Australia State League 1
0-0 0-0 57 D
27/06 Salisbury United
Australia South Australia State League 1
3-0 4-0 62 W
20/06 Adelaide Olympic
Australia South Australia State League 1
0-0 0-2 51 L
05/06 Eastern United
Australia South Australia State League 1
0-1 0-1 26 L
30/05 Adelaide Blue Eagles
Australia South Australia State League 1
0-3 1-3 53 L
23/05 Fulham United FC
Australia South Australia State League 1
1-2 2-3 104 L
16/05 Adelaide Croatia Raiders
Australia South Australia State League 1
0-0 1-1 127 D
08/05 Cumberland United
Australia South Australia State League 1
1-0 2-0 64 W
02/05 Adelaide Cobras
Australia South Australia State League 1
1-0 2-1 W
18/04 South Adelaide
Australia South Australia State League 1
1-1 2-1 W

Modbury Jets

WWWWLLLDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/07 Eastern United
Australia South Australia State League 1
0-0 0-0 75 D
27/06 Adelaide Olympic
Australia South Australia State League 1
1-0 4-1 84 W
20/06 Adelaide Blue Eagles
Australia South Australia State League 1
1-1 1-1 36 D
05/06 Fulham United FC
Australia South Australia State League 1
0-0 0-2 13 L
30/05 Adelaide Croatia Raiders
Australia South Australia State League 1
0-2 1-3 103 L
23/05 Cumberland United
Australia South Australia State League 1
0-0 0-1 23 L
19/05 Adelaide Cobras
Australia South Australia State League 1
1-0 2-0 13 W
16/05 Adelaide Cobras
Australia South Australia State League 1
1-0 2-0 00 W
09/05 South Adelaide
Australia South Australia State League 1
2-1 4-1 122 W
02/05 Adelaide Atletico
Australia South Australia State League 1
1-0 2-1 75 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cove vs Modbury Jets?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Modbury Jets win (51%). Probabilities: Cove 25%, draw 24%, Modbury Jets 51%.

How many goals are expected in Cove vs Modbury Jets?

The model expects 3.01 goals (Cove 1.2 · Modbury Jets 1.81), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Cove vs Modbury Jets?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.