Prediction: Cumberland United vs Adelaide Croatia Raiders
Expected goals: 3.49 (Cumberland United 1.64 · Adelaide Croatia Raiders 1.84). The model gives 34% home, 23% draw, 43% away. Over 3.25 goals (51%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Cumberland United sits at 7-0-3 (W-D-L), while Adelaide Croatia Raiders arrives on a 6-1-3 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Cumberland United won 3 and Adelaide Croatia Raiders 3.
| Cumberland United | Draw | Adelaide Croatia Raiders | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 24% | 42% |
| Market | 35% | 23% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cumberland United | Adelaide Croatia Raiders | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.2 | 3 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.4 | 1.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 3.8 | 3.4 / 6.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0 | 3.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cumberland United 3–0–3 Adelaide Croatia Raiders
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/26 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Adelaide Croatia Raiders | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Cumberland United |
| 17/04/25 Australia FFA Cup Qualifying | Adelaide Croatia Raiders | 3-2 HT 3-1 | Cumberland United |
| 20/05/23 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Cumberland United | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Adelaide Croatia Raiders |
| 25/02/23 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Adelaide Croatia Raiders | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Cumberland United |
| 31/08/21 Australia South Australia Premier League | Adelaide Croatia Raiders | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Cumberland United |
| 08/05/21 Australia South Australia Premier League | Cumberland United | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Adelaide Croatia Raiders |
Standings · Australia South Australia State League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adelaide Croatia Raiders | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 44 | 22 | 31 |
| 2 | Fulham United FC | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 34 | 24 | 30 |
| 3 | Adelaide Atletico | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 33 | 24 | 29 |
| 4 | Adelaide Olympic | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 28 |
| 5 | Modbury Jets | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 30 | 13 | 27 |
| 6 | Cumberland United | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 21 | 25 |
| 7 | Adelaide Blue Eagles | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 24 |
| 8 | Cove | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 23 |
| 9 | Adelaide Cobras | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 34 | 16 |
| 10 | Eastern United | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 33 | 15 |
| 11 | Salisbury United | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 11 |
| 12 | South Adelaide | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 43 | 11 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cumberland United | Adelaide Croatia Raiders |
|---|---|---|
| Eastern United | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| South Adelaide | 5-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Adelaide Cobras | 2-0 W | 7-0 W |
| Adelaide Atletico | 1-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Salisbury United | 4-3 W | 3-4 L |
| Modbury Jets | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Adelaide Olympic | 1-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Cove | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 3 L | 6 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Adelaide Croatia Raiders (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cumberland United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Eastern United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | South Adelaide Australia South Australia State League 1 |
4-1 | 5-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | Adelaide Cobras Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 10/06 | Adelaide Cobras Australia Cup Qualifying |
1-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 06/06 | Adelaide Atletico Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 30/05 | Salisbury United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
3-0 | 4-3 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 23/05 | Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Adelaide Olympic Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 12/05 | Adelaide City Australia Cup Qualifying |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 08/05 | Cove Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Adelaide Cobras Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 7-0 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 20/06 | Adelaide Atletico Australia South Australia State League 1 |
3-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 13/06 | South Adelaide Australia South Australia State League 1 |
2-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 06/06 | Salisbury United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-2 | 3-4 | 14 | 1 | L |
| 30/05 | Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Adelaide Olympic Australia South Australia State League 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Cove Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 09/05 | Adelaide Blue Eagles Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 3-4 | 11 | 7 | L |
| 02/05 | Fulham United FC Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-3 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 17/04 | Eastern United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cumberland United vs Adelaide Croatia Raiders?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Adelaide Croatia Raiders win (43%). Probabilities: Cumberland United 34%, draw 23%, Adelaide Croatia Raiders 43%.
How many goals are expected in Cumberland United vs Adelaide Croatia Raiders?
The model expects 3.49 goals (Cumberland United 1.64 · Adelaide Croatia Raiders 1.84), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Cumberland United vs Adelaide Croatia Raiders?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.