Prediction: Cove vs Adelaide Atletico
Expected goals: 3.26 (Cove 1.53 · Adelaide Atletico 1.73). The model gives 34% home, 24% draw, 42% away. Under 3.25 goals (52%) and both teams to score (58%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Cove with 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses over 10 games; Adelaide Atletico has piled up 6-1-3 in the same span. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Cove won 0 and Adelaide Atletico 2.
| Cove | Draw | Adelaide Atletico | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 25% | 42% |
| Market | 35% | 23% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Adelaide Atletico (rating 1496 vs 1540).
- H2H favours Adelaide Atletico: 2-0-0.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cove | Adelaide Atletico | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.6 | 2.2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6.3 | 1.7 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.1 | 4.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cove 0–0–2 Adelaide Atletico
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Adelaide Atletico | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Cove |
| 28/04/17 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Cove | 2-3 HT 0-3 | Adelaide Atletico |
Standings · Australia South Australia State League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adelaide Croatia Raiders | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 44 | 22 | 31 |
| 2 | Fulham United FC | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 34 | 24 | 30 |
| 3 | Adelaide Atletico | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 33 | 24 | 29 |
| 4 | Adelaide Olympic | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 28 |
| 5 | Modbury Jets | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 30 | 13 | 27 |
| 6 | Cumberland United | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 21 | 25 |
| 7 | Adelaide Blue Eagles | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 24 |
| 8 | Cove | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 23 |
| 9 | Adelaide Cobras | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 34 | 16 |
| 10 | Eastern United | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 33 | 15 |
| 11 | Salisbury United | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 11 |
| 12 | South Adelaide | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 43 | 11 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cove | Adelaide Atletico |
|---|---|---|
| Salisbury United | 4-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Adelaide Olympic | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Eastern United | 0-1 L | 5-0 W |
| Adelaide Blue Eagles | 1-3 L | 4-0 W |
| Fulham United FC | 2-3 L | 1-4 L |
| Adelaide Croatia Raiders | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Cumberland United | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Adelaide Cobras | 2-1 W | 3-2 W |
| South Adelaide | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 4 L | 6 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Cove (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cove
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Salisbury United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
3-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 20/06 | Adelaide Olympic Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 05/06 | Eastern United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 30/05 | Adelaide Blue Eagles Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Fulham United FC Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-2 | 2-3 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Adelaide Croatia Raiders Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 7 | D |
| 08/05 | Cumberland United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Adelaide Cobras Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | South Adelaide Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/04 | Adelaide Atletico Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 7 | L |
Adelaide Atletico
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Adelaide Blue Eagles Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 20/06 | Adelaide Croatia Raiders Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 13/06 | Fulham United FC Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 06/06 | Cumberland United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | Adelaide Cobras Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | South Adelaide Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 16/05 | Eastern United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
4-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Salisbury United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 17/04 | Adelaide Olympic Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cove vs Adelaide Atletico?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Adelaide Atletico win (42%). Probabilities: Cove 34%, draw 24%, Adelaide Atletico 42%.
How many goals are expected in Cove vs Adelaide Atletico?
The model expects 3.26 goals (Cove 1.53 · Adelaide Atletico 1.73), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Cove vs Adelaide Atletico?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.