Prediction: Adelaide Blue Eagles vs South Adelaide
Expected goals: 3.52 (Adelaide Blue Eagles 2.58 · South Adelaide 0.94). The model gives 73% home, 16% draw, 11% away. Under 3.75 goals (55%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 2-0.
Over its last 10 matches, Adelaide Blue Eagles sits at 6-1-3 (W-D-L), while South Adelaide arrives on a 2-2-6 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Adelaide Blue Eagles won 1 and South Adelaide 5.
| Adelaide Blue Eagles | Draw | South Adelaide | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 72% | 17% | 11% |
| Market | 73% | 15% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Adelaide Blue Eagles (rating 1519 vs 1462).
- H2H favours South Adelaide: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Adelaide Blue Eagles | South Adelaide | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.5 | 1.1 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.4 | 2.6 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.4 | 2.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Adelaide Blue Eagles 1–0–5 South Adelaide
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Australia South Australia State League 1 | South Adelaide | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Adelaide Blue Eagles |
| 05/07/25 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Adelaide Blue Eagles | 2-3 HT 2-1 | South Adelaide |
| 11/04/25 Australia South Australia State League 1 | South Adelaide | 1-4 HT 1-2 | Adelaide Blue Eagles |
| 04/09/21 Australia South Australia Premier League | South Adelaide | 3-2 HT 1-2 | Adelaide Blue Eagles |
| 19/06/21 Australia South Australia Premier League | Adelaide Blue Eagles | 0-1 HT 0-0 | South Adelaide |
| 06/02/20 Australia Friendlies | Adelaide Blue Eagles | 0-3 HT 0-2 | South Adelaide |
Standings · Australia South Australia State League 1
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adelaide Croatia Raiders | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 44 | 22 | 31 |
| 2 | Fulham United FC | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 34 | 24 | 30 |
| 3 | Adelaide Atletico | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 33 | 24 | 29 |
| 4 | Adelaide Olympic | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 28 |
| 5 | Modbury Jets | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 30 | 13 | 27 |
| 6 | Cumberland United | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 21 | 25 |
| 7 | Adelaide Blue Eagles | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 24 |
| 8 | Cove | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 23 |
| 9 | Adelaide Cobras | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 34 | 16 |
| 10 | Eastern United | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 33 | 15 |
| 11 | Salisbury United | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 11 |
| 12 | South Adelaide | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 43 | 11 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Adelaide Blue Eagles | South Adelaide |
|---|---|---|
| Adelaide Atletico | 0-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Modbury Jets | 1-1 D | 1-4 L |
| Salisbury United | 3-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Adelaide Olympic | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Cove | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Eastern United | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Fulham United FC | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Adelaide Croatia Raiders | 4-3 W | 2-3 L |
| Cumberland United | 2-0 W | 1-5 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Adelaide Blue Eagles (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adelaide Blue Eagles
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Adelaide Atletico Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 0-4 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 20/06 | Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 13/06 | Salisbury United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 06/06 | Adelaide Olympic Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 30/05 | Cove Australia South Australia State League 1 |
3-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 22/05 | Eastern United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Fulham United FC Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Adelaide Croatia Raiders Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 4-3 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 02/05 | Cumberland United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 9 | W |
| 24/04 | Adelaide Olympic Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
South Adelaide
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Fulham United FC Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | Cumberland United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-4 | 1-5 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | Adelaide Croatia Raiders Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 06/06 | Adelaide Cobras Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 30/05 | Eastern United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | Adelaide Atletico Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 16/05 | Salisbury United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-2 | 1-4 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Adelaide Olympic Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 18/04 | Cove Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adelaide Blue Eagles vs South Adelaide?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Adelaide Blue Eagles win (73%). Probabilities: Adelaide Blue Eagles 73%, draw 16%, South Adelaide 11%.
How many goals are expected in Adelaide Blue Eagles vs South Adelaide?
The model expects 3.52 goals (Adelaide Blue Eagles 2.58 · South Adelaide 0.94), with a 55% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Adelaide Blue Eagles vs South Adelaide?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.