Prediction: Adelaide Cobras vs Fulham United FC
Expected goals: 3.59 (Adelaide Cobras 1.47 · Fulham United FC 2.13). The model gives 26% home, 22% draw, 52% away. Over 3.25 goals (51%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Adelaide Cobras sits at 2-1-7 (W-D-L), while Fulham United FC arrives on a 5-3-2 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Adelaide Cobras won 1 and Fulham United FC 4, with 1 draw.
| Adelaide Cobras | Draw | Fulham United FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 23% | 52% |
| Market | 26% | 22% | 52% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fulham United FC (rating 1433 vs 1550).
- H2H favours Fulham United FC: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Adelaide Cobras | Fulham United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.4 | 2 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 0.9 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.1 | 1.4 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0 | 2.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Adelaide Cobras 1–1–4 Fulham United FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Fulham United FC | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Adelaide Cobras |
| 07/06/25 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Adelaide Cobras | 0-8 HT 0-4 | Fulham United FC |
| 01/03/25 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Fulham United FC | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Adelaide Cobras |
| 01/06/24 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Adelaide Cobras | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Fulham United FC |
| 02/03/24 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Fulham United FC | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Adelaide Cobras |
| 15/07/23 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Adelaide Cobras | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Fulham United FC |
Standings · Australia South Australia State League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adelaide Croatia Raiders | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 44 | 22 | 31 |
| 2 | Fulham United FC | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 34 | 24 | 30 |
| 3 | Adelaide Atletico | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 33 | 24 | 29 |
| 4 | Adelaide Olympic | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 28 |
| 5 | Modbury Jets | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 30 | 13 | 27 |
| 6 | Cumberland United | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 21 | 25 |
| 7 | Adelaide Blue Eagles | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 24 |
| 8 | Cove | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 23 |
| 9 | Adelaide Cobras | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 34 | 16 |
| 10 | Eastern United | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 33 | 15 |
| 11 | Salisbury United | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 11 |
| 12 | South Adelaide | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 43 | 11 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Adelaide Cobras | Fulham United FC |
|---|---|---|
| Adelaide Croatia Raiders | 0-7 L | 4-2 W |
| Eastern United | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| South Adelaide | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Adelaide Atletico | 2-3 L | 4-1 W |
| Salisbury United | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Modbury Jets | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 4 L | 4 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Fulham United FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adelaide Cobras
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Adelaide Croatia Raiders Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 0-7 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 20/06 | Eastern United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | Cumberland United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 10/06 | Cumberland United Australia Cup Qualifying |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 06/06 | South Adelaide Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 30/05 | Adelaide Atletico Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 23/05 | Salisbury United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 19/05 | Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 12/05 | Para Hills Knights Australia Cup Qualifying |
2-0 | 4-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
Fulham United FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | South Adelaide Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | Salisbury United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | Adelaide Atletico Australia South Australia State League 1 |
2-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 05/06 | Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 29/05 | Adelaide Olympic Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Cove Australia South Australia State League 1 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 19/05 | West Torrens Birkalla Australia Cup Qualifying |
1-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 16/05 | Adelaide Blue Eagles Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 08/05 | Eastern United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 02/05 | Adelaide Croatia Raiders Australia South Australia State League 1 |
3-0 | 4-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adelaide Cobras vs Fulham United FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Fulham United FC win (52%). Probabilities: Adelaide Cobras 26%, draw 22%, Fulham United FC 52%.
How many goals are expected in Adelaide Cobras vs Fulham United FC?
The model expects 3.59 goals (Adelaide Cobras 1.47 · Fulham United FC 2.13), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Adelaide Cobras vs Fulham United FC?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.