Football · Slovenia 2. SNL · 14/11, 16:00

Prediction: NK Rudar Velenje vs Jadran Dekani

Team pages: NK Rudar Velenje · Jadran Dekani

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.49Total

NK Rudar Velenje1.46

Jadran Dekani1.02

1X2

47% 27% 26%

NK Rudar Velenje Draw Jadran Dekani

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

NK Rudar Velenje 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Jadran Dekani 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DDWWLWLDLW

Head-to-head

NK Rudar Velenje 2–2–2 Jadran Dekani (6 last)

NK Rudar Velenje2-2Jadran Dekani
Jadran Dekani1-2NK Rudar Velenje
NK Rudar Velenje0-0Jadran Dekani
Jadran Dekani2-0NK Rudar Velenje
NK Rudar Velenje1-0Jadran Dekani
Jadran Dekani4-1NK Rudar Velenje

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Rudar Velenje 1517 · Jadran Dekani 1500

	NK Rudar Velenje	Draw	Jadran Dekani
Our model	46%	29%	25%
Market	47%	26%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.49 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NK Rudar Velenje	Jadran Dekani
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.6	0.5 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.9	0.3 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/10/60%	20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 6.5	2.7 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.90

X3.40

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
16:56 +11’	1.90	3.40	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Rudar Velenje 2–2–2 Jadran Dekani

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/05/26 Slovenia 2. SNL	NK Rudar Velenje	2-2 HT 1-1	Jadran Dekani
09/11/25 Slovenia 2. SNL	Jadran Dekani	1-2 HT 0-2	NK Rudar Velenje
08/05/25 Slovenia 2. SNL	NK Rudar Velenje	0-0 HT 0-0	Jadran Dekani
25/10/24 Slovenia 2. SNL	Jadran Dekani	2-0 HT 1-0	NK Rudar Velenje
04/05/24 Slovenia 2. SNL	NK Rudar Velenje	1-0 HT 0-0	Jadran Dekani
14/10/23 Slovenia 2. SNL	Jadran Dekani	4-1 HT 0-1	NK Rudar Velenje

Standings · Slovenia 2. SNL

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tabor Sezana	14	11	1	2	27	10	34
2	NK Triglav Kranj	14	10	1	3	31	13	31
3	ND Beltinci	14	10	1	3	42	18	31
4	NK Bilje	14	8	0	6	26	27	24
5	NK Bistrica	14	7	2	5	19	17	23
6	ND Ilirija Ljubljana	14	7	1	6	25	17	22
7	NK Rudar Velenje	14	7	1	6	26	21	22
8	NK Jesenice	14	5	4	5	22	21	19
9	Jadran Dekani	14	5	4	5	8	8	19
10	ND Slovan Ljubljana	14	5	3	6	14	21	18
11	NK Primorje Ajdovscina	14	4	4	6	13	18	16
12	NK Krka	14	5	1	8	18	22	16
13	NK Vrhnika	14	4	2	8	12	25	14
14	ND Dravinja	14	4	2	8	20	29	14
15	NK Krsko	14	2	3	9	10	30	9
16	NK Brezice	14	1	4	9	12	28	7

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NK Rudar Velenje	Jadran Dekani
Tabor Sezana	0-1 L	0-0 D
NK Bistrica	1-3 L	1-0 W
ND Dravinja	3-1 W	0-1 L
NK Brezice	4-3 W	0-0 D
NK Triglav Kranj	2-0 W	0-1 L
NK Vrhnika	2-4 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Rudar Velenje

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	NK Krsko Slovenia 2. SNL	0-1	3-1	8	3	W
31/10	NK Jesenice Slovenia 2. SNL	2-0	2-2	5	5	D
27/10	NK Primorje Ajdovscina Slovenia 2. SNL	0-1	0-1	9	6	L
17/10	ND Slovan Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL	2-0	2-0	7	8	W
09/10	Tabor Sezana Slovenia 2. SNL	0-1	0-1	4	9	L
04/10	NK Bistrica Slovenia 2. SNL	1-2	1-3	4	8	L
28/09	ND Dravinja Slovenia 2. SNL	2-0	3-1	4	6	W
19/09	NK Brezice Slovenia 2. SNL	1-2	4-3	7	4	W
13/09	NK Triglav Kranj Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	2-0	8	5	W
04/09	NK Vrhnika Slovenia 2. SNL	1-2	2-4	9	2	L

Jadran Dekani

DDWWLWLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	NK Bistrica Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
31/10	ND Dravinja Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	0-1	6	6	L
27/10	NK Brezice Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	0-0	7	6	D
16/10	NK Triglav Kranj Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
10/10	NK Vrhnika Slovenia 2. SNL	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
06/10	NK Bilje Slovenia 2. SNL	0-1	0-2	6	3	L
25/09	ND Ilirija Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL	1-0	1-0	7	3	W
20/09	NK Krka Slovenia 2. SNL	1-1	2-1	3	2	W
13/09	ND Beltinci Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	0-0	9	3	D
04/09	Tabor Sezana Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	0-0	7	8	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Rudar Velenje vs Jadran Dekani?

According to our model, the most likely result is a NK Rudar Velenje win (47%). Probabilities: NK Rudar Velenje 47%, draw 27%, Jadran Dekani 26%.

How many goals are expected in NK Rudar Velenje vs Jadran Dekani?

The model expects 2.49 goals (NK Rudar Velenje 1.46 · Jadran Dekani 1.02), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Rudar Velenje vs Jadran Dekani?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.