Football · Slovenia 2. SNL · 08/11, 14:00

Prediction: NK Jesenice vs ND Slovan Ljubljana

Team pages: NK Jesenice · ND Slovan Ljubljana

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.97Total

NK Jesenice1.69

ND Slovan Ljubljana1.28

1X2

46% 25% 28%

NK Jesenice Draw ND Slovan Ljubljana

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

NK Jesenice 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLWWWLDLLD

ND Slovan Ljubljana 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLDLWWDLLL

Head-to-head

NK Jesenice 0–3 ND Slovan Ljubljana (3 last)

ND Slovan Ljubljana1-0NK Jesenice
NK Jesenice2-3ND Slovan Ljubljana
ND Slovan Ljubljana2-1NK Jesenice

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Jesenice 1491 · ND Slovan Ljubljana 1475

	NK Jesenice	Draw	ND Slovan Ljubljana
Our model	46%	26%	28%
Market	47%	25%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.97 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours ND Slovan Ljubljana: 3-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NK Jesenice	ND Slovan Ljubljana
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.7	0.8 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.8	0.6 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.1	2.2 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.1	4.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.60

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
14:28 +3’	1.91	3.60	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Jesenice 0–0–3 ND Slovan Ljubljana

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
07/05/26 Slovenia 2. SNL	ND Slovan Ljubljana	1-0 HT 1-0	NK Jesenice
25/10/25 Slovenia 2. SNL	NK Jesenice	2-3 HT 1-0	ND Slovan Ljubljana
14/04/24 Slovenia 3. SNL	ND Slovan Ljubljana	2-1 HT 2-0	NK Jesenice

Standings · Slovenia 2. SNL

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tabor Sezana	13	10	1	2	26	10	31
2	NK Triglav Kranj	13	9	1	3	27	12	28
3	ND Beltinci	13	9	1	3	39	17	28
4	NK Bistrica	13	7	2	4	19	16	23
5	ND Ilirija Ljubljana	13	7	1	5	24	13	22
6	NK Bilje	13	7	0	6	23	27	21
7	NK Rudar Velenje	13	6	1	6	23	20	19
8	NK Jesenice	13	5	3	5	22	21	18
9	ND Slovan Ljubljana	13	5	2	6	14	21	17
10	NK Primorje Ajdovscina	13	4	4	5	13	17	16
11	Jadran Dekani	13	4	4	5	7	8	16
12	NK Vrhnika	13	4	2	7	12	22	14
13	ND Dravinja	13	4	2	7	19	26	14
14	NK Krka	13	4	1	8	17	22	13
15	NK Krsko	13	2	3	8	9	27	9
16	NK Brezice	13	1	4	8	12	27	7

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NK Jesenice	ND Slovan Ljubljana
NK Rudar Velenje	2-2 D	0-2 L
NK Bistrica	1-3 L	1-1 D
ND Dravinja	1-2 L	4-1 W
NK Brezice	2-2 D	1-0 W
NK Triglav Kranj	0-4 L	0-3 L
NK Vrhnika	5-0 W	0-0 D
NK Bilje	2-0 W	0-4 L
ND Ilirija Ljubljana	3-1 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	3 W 2 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Jesenice

WLWWWLDLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	NK Rudar Velenje Slovenia 2. SNL	0-2	2-2	3	5	D
28/10	NK Bistrica Slovenia 2. SNL	1-1	1-3	6	7	L
16/10	ND Dravinja Slovenia 2. SNL	1-1	1-2	4	6	L
10/10	NK Brezice Slovenia 2. SNL	2-1	2-2	6	7	D
04/10	NK Triglav Kranj Slovenia 2. SNL	0-1	0-4	1	4	L
27/09	NK Vrhnika Slovenia 2. SNL	1-0	5-0	3	4	W
20/09	NK Bilje Slovenia 2. SNL	1-0	2-0	3	6	W
12/09	ND Ilirija Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL	2-1	3-1	4	4	W
05/09	NK Krka Slovenia 2. SNL	0-1	0-2	7	5	L
29/08	ND Beltinci Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	3-1	4	6	W

ND Slovan Ljubljana

WLDLWWDLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	NK Primorje Ajdovscina Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
27/10	Tabor Sezana Slovenia 2. SNL	0-1	0-2	0	3	L
17/10	NK Rudar Velenje Slovenia 2. SNL	0-2	0-2	1	8	L
11/10	NK Bistrica Slovenia 2. SNL	0-1	1-1	6	4	D
03/10	ND Dravinja Slovenia 2. SNL	3-1	4-1	7	3	W
27/09	NK Brezice Slovenia 2. SNL	1-0	1-0	3	7	W
20/09	NK Triglav Kranj Slovenia 2. SNL	0-2	0-3	1	2	L
12/09	NK Vrhnika Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	0-0	6	7	D
05/09	NK Bilje Slovenia 2. SNL	0-2	0-4	4	3	L
28/08	ND Ilirija Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL	2-1	2-1	5	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Jesenice vs ND Slovan Ljubljana?

According to our model, the most likely result is a NK Jesenice win (46%). Probabilities: NK Jesenice 46%, draw 25%, ND Slovan Ljubljana 28%.

How many goals are expected in NK Jesenice vs ND Slovan Ljubljana?

The model expects 2.97 goals (NK Jesenice 1.69 · ND Slovan Ljubljana 1.28), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Jesenice vs ND Slovan Ljubljana?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.