Football · Slovenia 2. SNL · 08/11, 14:00

Prediction: ND Beltinci vs ND Dravinja

Team pages: ND Beltinci · ND Dravinja

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.05Total

ND Beltinci2.73

ND Dravinja1.33

1X2

66% 19% 15%

ND Beltinci Draw ND Dravinja

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

ND Beltinci 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

LWDWWWWWLW

ND Dravinja 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LDLWLLDWWW

Head-to-head

ND Beltinci 3–2–1 ND Dravinja (6 last)

ND Beltinci1-1ND Dravinja
ND Dravinja0-2ND Beltinci
ND Dravinja2-1ND Beltinci
ND Beltinci0-0ND Dravinja
ND Dravinja0-2ND Beltinci
ND Beltinci3-0ND Dravinja

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ND Beltinci 1594 · ND Dravinja 1497

	ND Beltinci	Draw	ND Dravinja
Our model	66%	18%	16%
Market	65%	20%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 4.05 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ND Beltinci (rating 1594 vs 1497).
H2H favours ND Beltinci: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	ND Beltinci	ND Dravinja
Goals for / against (FT)	3.2 / 1.4	1.8 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.4	0.7 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.2	1.3 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.2	5.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.36

X4.50

26.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.95

2 (+1.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.95 · xG: 4.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.36 → 1.36	Bet365 1.36
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.3%

Time*	1	X	2
14:25 +5’	1.36	4.50	6.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · ND Beltinci 3–2–1 ND Dravinja

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Slovenia 2. SNL	ND Beltinci	1-1 HT 1-0	ND Dravinja
13/09/25 Slovenia 2. SNL	ND Dravinja	0-2 HT 0-2	ND Beltinci
02/05/25 Slovenia 2. SNL	ND Dravinja	2-1 HT 0-1	ND Beltinci
19/10/24 Slovenia 2. SNL	ND Beltinci	0-0 HT 0-0	ND Dravinja
14/04/24 Slovenia 2. SNL	ND Dravinja	0-2 HT 0-2	ND Beltinci
24/09/23 Slovenia 2. SNL	ND Beltinci	3-0 HT 1-0	ND Dravinja

Standings · Slovenia 2. SNL

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tabor Sezana	13	10	1	2	26	10	31
2	NK Triglav Kranj	14	10	1	3	31	13	31
3	ND Beltinci	13	9	1	3	39	17	28
4	NK Bistrica	13	7	2	4	19	16	23
5	ND Ilirija Ljubljana	14	7	1	6	25	17	22
6	NK Bilje	13	7	0	6	23	27	21
7	NK Rudar Velenje	13	6	1	6	23	20	19
8	NK Jesenice	13	5	3	5	22	21	18
9	ND Slovan Ljubljana	13	5	2	6	14	21	17
10	NK Primorje Ajdovscina	13	4	4	5	13	17	16
11	Jadran Dekani	13	4	4	5	7	8	16
12	NK Vrhnika	13	4	2	7	12	22	14
13	ND Dravinja	13	4	2	7	19	26	14
14	NK Krka	13	4	1	8	17	22	13
15	NK Krsko	13	2	3	8	9	27	9
16	NK Brezice	13	1	4	8	12	27	7

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	ND Beltinci	ND Dravinja
NK Brezice	6-0 W	1-1 D
NK Triglav Kranj	3-4 L	1-4 L
Tabor Sezana	5-1 W	1-5 L
Jadran Dekani	0-0 D	1-0 W
NK Krsko	3-2 W	6-0 W
NK Jesenice	1-3 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ND Beltinci

LWDWWWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/11	NK Brezice Slovenia 2. SNL	5-0	6-0	3	4	W
28/10	NK Triglav Kranj Slovenia 2. SNL	2-0	3-4	6	4	L
18/10	NK Vrhnika Slovenia 2. SNL	0-1	2-1	5	6	W
10/10	NK Bilje Slovenia 2. SNL	2-1	5-1	5	4	W
04/10	ND Ilirija Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL	1-1	4-2	9	6	W
27/09	NK Krka Slovenia 2. SNL	1-0	3-0	4	1	W
19/09	Tabor Sezana Slovenia 2. SNL	2-0	5-1	1	5	W
13/09	Jadran Dekani Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
05/09	NK Krsko Slovenia 2. SNL	1-1	3-2	9	2	W
29/08	NK Jesenice Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	1-3	4	6	L

ND Dravinja

LDLWLLDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Jadran Dekani Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
28/10	NK Krsko Slovenia 2. SNL	2-0	6-0	12	3	W
16/10	NK Jesenice Slovenia 2. SNL	1-1	2-1	2	6	W
11/10	NK Primorje Ajdovscina Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	1-1	2	8	D
03/10	ND Slovan Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL	1-3	1-4	1	3	L
28/09	NK Rudar Velenje Slovenia 2. SNL	0-2	1-3	6	6	L
20/09	NK Bistrica Slovenia 2. SNL	1-1	3-1	3	5	W
11/09	Tabor Sezana Slovenia 2. SNL	1-2	1-5	1	6	L
05/09	NK Brezice Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	1-1	2	4	D
29/08	NK Triglav Kranj Slovenia 2. SNL	1-1	1-4	1	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ND Beltinci vs ND Dravinja?

According to our model, the most likely result is a ND Beltinci win (66%). Probabilities: ND Beltinci 66%, draw 19%, ND Dravinja 15%.

How many goals are expected in ND Beltinci vs ND Dravinja?

The model expects 4.05 goals (ND Beltinci 2.73 · ND Dravinja 1.33), with a 57% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in ND Beltinci vs ND Dravinja?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.