Football · Slovenia 2. SNL · 31/10, 14:00

Prediction: NK Bilje vs Tabor Sezana

Team pages: NK Bilje · Tabor Sezana

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.93Total

NK Bilje0.98

Tabor Sezana1.95

1X2

18% 23% 59%

NK Bilje Draw Tabor Sezana

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

NK Bilje 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Tabor Sezana 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWDWLWWWWW

Head-to-head

NK Bilje 2–2–2 Tabor Sezana (6 last)

NK Bilje2-1Tabor Sezana
Tabor Sezana1-1NK Bilje
NK Bilje2-1Tabor Sezana
NK Bilje1-3Tabor Sezana
NK Bilje0-2Tabor Sezana
Tabor Sezana2-2NK Bilje

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Bilje 1480 · Tabor Sezana 1594

	NK Bilje	Draw	Tabor Sezana
Our model	17%	24%	59%
Market	18%	22%	60%

Estimated total (ours) 2.93 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tabor Sezana (rating 1480 vs 1594).
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NK Bilje	Tabor Sezana
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2.3	2 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.8	1.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	70/10/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 3.4	1.7 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0	5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

15.00

X4.00

21.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.98

2 (-1)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
13:18 +8’	5.00	4.00	1.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Bilje 2–2–2 Tabor Sezana

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Slovenia 2. SNL	NK Bilje	2-1 HT 0-1	Tabor Sezana
10/10/25 Slovenia 2. SNL	Tabor Sezana	1-1 HT 0-0	NK Bilje
19/07/25 Club Friendly List	NK Bilje	2-1 HT 1-1	Tabor Sezana
11/05/25 Slovenia 2. SNL	NK Bilje	1-3 HT 0-3	Tabor Sezana
05/02/25 Club Friendly List	NK Bilje	0-2 HT 0-1	Tabor Sezana
03/11/24 Slovenia 2. SNL	Tabor Sezana	2-2 HT 1-1	NK Bilje

Standings · Slovenia 2. SNL

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tabor Sezana	12	10	1	1	24	7	31
2	NK Triglav Kranj	12	9	1	2	25	8	28
3	ND Beltinci	12	8	1	3	33	17	25
4	NK Bistrica	12	6	2	4	17	16	20
5	ND Ilirija Ljubljana	12	6	1	5	20	12	19
6	NK Rudar Velenje	12	6	0	6	21	18	18
7	NK Bilje	12	6	0	6	20	25	18
8	NK Jesenice	12	5	2	5	20	19	17
9	ND Slovan Ljubljana	12	5	2	5	14	20	17
10	Jadran Dekani	12	4	4	4	7	7	16
11	NK Vrhnika	12	4	2	6	11	18	14
12	NK Primorje Ajdovscina	12	3	4	5	12	17	13
13	ND Dravinja	12	3	2	7	18	26	11
14	NK Krka	12	3	1	8	13	20	10
15	NK Krsko	12	2	3	7	9	25	9
16	NK Brezice	12	1	4	7	12	21	7

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NK Bilje	Tabor Sezana
ND Ilirija Ljubljana	0-3 L	1-0 W
NK Krka	2-0 W	2-1 W
ND Beltinci	1-5 L	1-5 L
Jadran Dekani	2-0 W	0-0 D
NK Krsko	1-3 L	6-0 W
ND Slovan Ljubljana	4-0 W	2-0 W
NK Rudar Velenje	1-4 L	1-0 W
NK Bistrica	1-4 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 5 L	6 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Tabor Sezana (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Bilje

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/10	ND Ilirija Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL	0-1	0-3	4	2	L
17/10	NK Krka Slovenia 2. SNL	1-0	2-0	3	5	W
10/10	ND Beltinci Slovenia 2. SNL	1-2	1-5	1	4	L
06/10	Jadran Dekani Slovenia 2. SNL	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
27/09	NK Krsko Slovenia 2. SNL	1-2	1-3	4	2	L
20/09	NK Jesenice Slovenia 2. SNL	0-1	0-2	4	6	L
11/09	NK Primorje Ajdovscina Slovenia 2. SNL	3-1	3-2	3	8	W
05/09	ND Slovan Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL	2-0	4-0	8	3	W
29/08	NK Rudar Velenje Slovenia 2. SNL	1-1	1-4	3	3	L
22/08	NK Bistrica Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	1-4	2	7	L

Tabor Sezana

WWDWLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/10	ND Slovan Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL	1-0	2-0	7	3	W
16/10	ND Ilirija Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL	1-0	1-0	4	6	W
09/10	NK Rudar Velenje Slovenia 2. SNL	1-0	1-0	3	9	W
03/10	NK Krka Slovenia 2. SNL	0-1	2-1	8	4	W
26/09	NK Bistrica Slovenia 2. SNL	1-0	1-0	4	3	W
19/09	ND Beltinci Slovenia 2. SNL	0-2	1-5	3	5	L
11/09	ND Dravinja Slovenia 2. SNL	2-1	5-1	4	6	W
04/09	Jadran Dekani Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	0-0	3	8	D
28/08	NK Brezice Slovenia 2. SNL	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
23/08	NK Krsko Slovenia 2. SNL	5-0	6-0	4	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Bilje vs Tabor Sezana?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Tabor Sezana win (59%). Probabilities: NK Bilje 18%, draw 23%, Tabor Sezana 59%.

How many goals are expected in NK Bilje vs Tabor Sezana?

The model expects 2.93 goals (NK Bilje 0.98 · Tabor Sezana 1.95), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Bilje vs Tabor Sezana?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.