Football · Slovenia 2. SNL · 02/11, 17:30
Prediction: NK Triglav Kranj vs NK Krka
Team pages: NK Triglav Kranj · NK Krka
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.24Total
NK Triglav Kranj2.29
NK Krka0.96
1X2
NK Triglav Kranj
Draw
NK Krka
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
2-0 10%
Recent form · 10 last
NK Triglav Kranj
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
NK Krka
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
NK Triglav Kranj
3–1–2
NK Krka
(6 last)
- NK Krka0-2NK Triglav Kranj
- NK Triglav Kranj2-2NK Krka
- NK Krka0-2NK Triglav Kranj
- NK Triglav Kranj3-0NK Krka
- NK Krka3-1NK Triglav Kranj
- NK Triglav Kranj0-1NK Krka
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · NK Triglav Kranj 1598 · NK Krka 1465
| NK Triglav Kranj | Draw | NK Krka | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 20% | 13% |
| Market | 67% | 20% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.24 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NK Triglav Kranj (rating 1598 vs 1465).
- H2H favours NK Triglav Kranj: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| NK Triglav Kranj | NK Krka | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 0.7 | 1.2 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.2 | 2.3 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0 | 4.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Triglav Kranj 3–1–2 NK Krka
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/26 Slovenia 2. SNL | NK Krka | 0-2 HT 0-1 | NK Triglav Kranj |
| 20/09/25 Slovenia 2. SNL | NK Triglav Kranj | 2-2 HT 2-1 | NK Krka |
| 04/05/25 Slovenia 2. SNL | NK Krka | 0-2 HT 0-0 | NK Triglav Kranj |
| 18/10/24 Slovenia 2. SNL | NK Triglav Kranj | 3-0 HT 0-0 | NK Krka |
| 01/03/24 Slovenia 2. SNL | NK Krka | 3-1 HT 1-0 | NK Triglav Kranj |
| 12/08/23 Slovenia 2. SNL | NK Triglav Kranj | 0-1 HT 0-0 | NK Krka |
Standings · Slovenia 2. SNL
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tabor Sezana | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 10 | 31 |
| 2 | NK Triglav Kranj | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 8 | 28 |
| 3 | ND Beltinci | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 33 | 17 | 25 |
| 4 | NK Bistrica | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 23 |
| 5 | ND Ilirija Ljubljana | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 13 | 22 |
| 6 | NK Bilje | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 27 | 21 |
| 7 | NK Rudar Velenje | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 20 | 19 |
| 8 | NK Jesenice | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 18 |
| 9 | ND Slovan Ljubljana | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 21 | 17 |
| 10 | NK Primorje Ajdovscina | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 17 | 16 |
| 11 | Jadran Dekani | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 16 |
| 12 | NK Vrhnika | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 22 | 14 |
| 13 | ND Dravinja | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 14 |
| 14 | NK Krka | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 20 | 10 |
| 15 | NK Krsko | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 9 |
| 16 | NK Brezice | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 7 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | NK Triglav Kranj | NK Krka |
|---|---|---|
| ND Beltinci | 4-3 W | 0-3 L |
| Jadran Dekani | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| NK Krsko | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| NK Jesenice | 4-0 W | 2-0 W |
| NK Primorje Ajdovscina | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| ND Slovan Ljubljana | 3-0 W | 2-3 L |
| NK Rudar Velenje | 0-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: NK Triglav Kranj (7 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
NK Triglav Kranj
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | ND Beltinci Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-2 | 4-3 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 16/10 | Jadran Dekani Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 11/10 | NK Krsko Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 04/10 | NK Jesenice Slovenia 2. SNL |
1-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 26/09 | NK Primorje Ajdovscina Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 20/09 | ND Slovan Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 16/09 | NK Brezice Slovenia 2. SNL |
3-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | NK Rudar Velenje Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 04/09 | NK Bistrica Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 29/08 | ND Dravinja Slovenia 2. SNL |
1-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
NK Krka
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | NK Vrhnika Slovenia 2. SNL |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 17/10 | NK Bilje Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 03/10 | Tabor Sezana Slovenia 2. SNL |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 27/09 | ND Beltinci Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 20/09 | Jadran Dekani Slovenia 2. SNL |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 12/09 | NK Krsko Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 7 | W |
| 05/09 | NK Jesenice Slovenia 2. SNL |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 28/08 | NK Primorje Ajdovscina Slovenia 2. SNL |
2-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 21/08 | ND Slovan Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL |
1-1 | 2-3 | 11 | 5 | L |
| 14/08 | NK Rudar Velenje Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in NK Triglav Kranj vs NK Krka?
According to our model, the most likely result is a NK Triglav Kranj win (67%). Probabilities: NK Triglav Kranj 67%, draw 20%, NK Krka 14%.
How many goals are expected in NK Triglav Kranj vs NK Krka?
The model expects 3.24 goals (NK Triglav Kranj 2.29 · NK Krka 0.96), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in NK Triglav Kranj vs NK Krka?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.