Football · Slovenia 2. SNL · 31/10, 17:00

Prediction: ND Dravinja vs Jadran Dekani

Team pages: ND Dravinja · Jadran Dekani

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.39Total

ND Dravinja1.05

Jadran Dekani1.34

1X2

29% 28% 43%

ND Dravinja Draw Jadran Dekani

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

ND Dravinja 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLDLWLLDWW

Jadran Dekani 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LDDDWWLWLD

Head-to-head

ND Dravinja 1–2–3 Jadran Dekani (6 last)

ND Dravinja1-1Jadran Dekani
Jadran Dekani3-0ND Dravinja
ND Dravinja0-0Jadran Dekani
Jadran Dekani1-0ND Dravinja
ND Dravinja0-1Jadran Dekani
Jadran Dekani0-1ND Dravinja

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ND Dravinja 1493 · Jadran Dekani 1486

	ND Dravinja	Draw	Jadran Dekani
Our model	28%	30%	42%
Market	30%	26%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 2.39 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Jadran Dekani: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	ND Dravinja	Jadran Dekani
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2.2	0.4 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.1	0.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 3.3	2.8 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.1	3.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.40

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.98

2 (-0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 06:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 3.00▲	Pinn 3.07 ★
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.10 → 2.05▼	Pinn 2.08

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
13:38 +5’	2.88	3.40	2.10
06:17 +6’	3.00▲	3.40	2.05▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
05:20 +62’	3.41	3.30	1.92
08:28 +2’	3.12▼	3.20▼	2.06▲
09:55 +18’	3.07▼	3.21▲	2.08▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · ND Dravinja 1–2–3 Jadran Dekani

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
23/11/25 Slovenia 2. SNL	ND Dravinja	1-1 HT 1-1	Jadran Dekani
09/08/25 Slovenia 2. SNL	Jadran Dekani	3-0 HT 1-0	ND Dravinja
29/03/25 Slovenia 2. SNL	ND Dravinja	0-0 HT 0-0	Jadran Dekani
14/09/24 Slovenia 2. SNL	Jadran Dekani	1-0 HT 1-0	ND Dravinja
04/11/23 Slovenia 2. SNL	ND Dravinja	0-1 HT 0-0	Jadran Dekani
29/07/23 Slovenia 2. SNL	Jadran Dekani	0-1 HT 0-0	ND Dravinja

Standings · Slovenia 2. SNL

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tabor Sezana	12	10	1	1	24	7	31
2	NK Triglav Kranj	12	9	1	2	25	8	28
3	ND Beltinci	12	8	1	3	33	17	25
4	NK Bistrica	12	6	2	4	17	16	20
5	ND Ilirija Ljubljana	12	6	1	5	20	12	19
6	NK Rudar Velenje	12	6	0	6	21	18	18
7	NK Bilje	12	6	0	6	20	25	18
8	NK Jesenice	12	5	2	5	20	19	17
9	ND Slovan Ljubljana	12	5	2	5	14	20	17
10	Jadran Dekani	12	4	4	4	7	7	16
11	NK Vrhnika	12	4	2	6	11	18	14
12	NK Primorje Ajdovscina	12	3	4	5	12	17	13
13	ND Dravinja	12	3	2	7	18	26	11
14	NK Krka	12	3	1	8	13	20	10
15	NK Krsko	12	2	3	7	9	25	9
16	NK Brezice	12	1	4	7	12	21	7

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	ND Dravinja	Jadran Dekani
NK Krsko	6-0 W	0-0 D
NK Jesenice	2-1 W	0-2 L
Tabor Sezana	1-5 L	0-0 D
NK Brezice	1-1 D	0-0 D
NK Triglav Kranj	1-4 L	0-1 L
NK Vrhnika	0-2 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Jadran Dekani (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ND Dravinja

LLDLWLLDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/10	NK Krsko Slovenia 2. SNL	2-0	6-0	12	3	W
16/10	NK Jesenice Slovenia 2. SNL	1-1	2-1	2	6	W
11/10	NK Primorje Ajdovscina Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	1-1	2	8	D
03/10	ND Slovan Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL	1-3	1-4	1	3	L
28/09	NK Rudar Velenje Slovenia 2. SNL	0-2	1-3	6	6	L
20/09	NK Bistrica Slovenia 2. SNL	1-1	3-1	3	5	W
11/09	Tabor Sezana Slovenia 2. SNL	1-2	1-5	1	6	L
05/09	NK Brezice Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	1-1	2	4	D
29/08	NK Triglav Kranj Slovenia 2. SNL	1-1	1-4	1	6	L
22/08	NK Vrhnika Slovenia 2. SNL	0-1	0-2	–	–	L

Jadran Dekani

LDDDWWLWLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/10	NK Brezice Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	0-0	7	6	D
16/10	NK Triglav Kranj Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
10/10	NK Vrhnika Slovenia 2. SNL	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
06/10	NK Bilje Slovenia 2. SNL	0-1	0-2	6	3	L
25/09	ND Ilirija Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL	1-0	1-0	7	3	W
20/09	NK Krka Slovenia 2. SNL	1-1	2-1	3	2	W
13/09	ND Beltinci Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	0-0	9	3	D
04/09	Tabor Sezana Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	0-0	7	8	D
29/08	NK Krsko Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
21/08	NK Jesenice Slovenia 2. SNL	0-1	0-2	11	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ND Dravinja vs Jadran Dekani?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Jadran Dekani win (43%). Probabilities: ND Dravinja 29%, draw 28%, Jadran Dekani 43%.

How many goals are expected in ND Dravinja vs Jadran Dekani?

The model expects 2.39 goals (ND Dravinja 1.05 · Jadran Dekani 1.34), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in ND Dravinja vs Jadran Dekani?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.