Football · Slovenia 2. SNL · 27/10, 17:00

Prediction: Tabor Sezana vs ND Slovan Ljubljana

Team pages: Tabor Sezana · ND Slovan Ljubljana

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.09Total

Tabor Sezana2.3

ND Slovan Ljubljana0.8

1X2

71% 18% 11%

Tabor Sezana Draw ND Slovan Ljubljana

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

2-0 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Tabor Sezana 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

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ND Slovan Ljubljana 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Tabor Sezana 2–2 ND Slovan Ljubljana (4 last)

ND Slovan Ljubljana5-1Tabor Sezana
Tabor Sezana1-0ND Slovan Ljubljana
Tabor Sezana1-2ND Slovan Ljubljana
ND Slovan Ljubljana0-2Tabor Sezana

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tabor Sezana 1607 · ND Slovan Ljubljana 1517

	Tabor Sezana	Draw	ND Slovan Ljubljana
Our model	70%	19%	11%
Market	72%	16%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 3.09 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tabor Sezana (rating 1607 vs 1517).
Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tabor Sezana	ND Slovan Ljubljana
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 0.7	1.4 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.4	1 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.3	1.9 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.2	5.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.25

X5.50

27.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.98

2 (+1.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.25 → 1.25	Bet365 1.25
X	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
2	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
17:03 +1’	1.25	5.50	7.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Tabor Sezana 2–0–2 ND Slovan Ljubljana

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Slovenia 2. SNL	ND Slovan Ljubljana	5-1 HT 1-0	Tabor Sezana
08/11/25 Slovenia 2. SNL	Tabor Sezana	1-0 HT 0-0	ND Slovan Ljubljana
07/05/25 Slovenia 2. SNL	Tabor Sezana	1-2 HT 1-1	ND Slovan Ljubljana
27/10/24 Slovenia 2. SNL	ND Slovan Ljubljana	0-2 HT 0-1	Tabor Sezana

Standings · Slovenia 2. SNL

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tabor Sezana	11	9	1	1	22	7	28
2	ND Beltinci	11	8	1	2	30	13	25
3	NK Triglav Kranj	11	8	1	2	21	5	25
4	NK Rudar Velenje	11	6	0	5	21	17	18
5	NK Bilje	11	6	0	5	20	22	18
6	NK Jesenice	11	5	2	4	19	16	17
7	NK Bistrica	11	5	2	4	14	15	17
8	ND Slovan Ljubljana	11	5	2	4	14	18	17
9	ND Ilirija Ljubljana	11	5	1	5	17	12	16
10	Jadran Dekani	11	4	3	4	7	7	15
11	NK Vrhnika	11	4	2	5	11	15	14
12	NK Primorje Ajdovscina	11	2	4	5	11	17	10
13	NK Krsko	11	2	3	6	9	19	9
14	ND Dravinja	11	2	2	7	12	26	8
15	NK Krka	11	2	1	8	10	20	7
16	NK Brezice	11	1	3	7	12	21	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tabor Sezana	ND Slovan Ljubljana
ND Ilirija Ljubljana	1-0 W	2-1 W
NK Rudar Velenje	1-0 W	0-2 L
NK Krka	2-1 W	3-2 W
NK Bistrica	1-0 W	1-1 D
ND Beltinci	1-5 L	3-1 W
ND Dravinja	5-1 W	4-1 W
NK Brezice	1-0 W	1-0 W
NK Triglav Kranj	1-0 W	0-3 L
Record vs common	7 W 0 D 1 L	5 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Tabor Sezana (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tabor Sezana

WWWDWLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	ND Ilirija Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL	1-0	1-0	4	6	W
09/10	NK Rudar Velenje Slovenia 2. SNL	1-0	1-0	3	9	W
03/10	NK Krka Slovenia 2. SNL	0-1	2-1	8	4	W
26/09	NK Bistrica Slovenia 2. SNL	1-0	1-0	4	3	W
19/09	ND Beltinci Slovenia 2. SNL	0-2	1-5	3	5	L
11/09	ND Dravinja Slovenia 2. SNL	2-1	5-1	4	6	W
04/09	Jadran Dekani Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	0-0	3	8	D
28/08	NK Brezice Slovenia 2. SNL	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
23/08	NK Krsko Slovenia 2. SNL	5-0	6-0	4	4	W
14/08	NK Triglav Kranj Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	1-0	6	6	W

ND Slovan Ljubljana

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	NK Rudar Velenje Slovenia 2. SNL	0-2	0-2	1	8	L
11/10	NK Bistrica Slovenia 2. SNL	0-1	1-1	6	4	D
03/10	ND Dravinja Slovenia 2. SNL	3-1	4-1	7	3	W
27/09	NK Brezice Slovenia 2. SNL	1-0	1-0	3	7	W
20/09	NK Triglav Kranj Slovenia 2. SNL	0-2	0-3	1	2	L
12/09	NK Vrhnika Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	0-0	6	7	D
05/09	NK Bilje Slovenia 2. SNL	0-2	0-4	4	3	L
28/08	ND Ilirija Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL	2-1	2-1	5	6	W
21/08	NK Krka Slovenia 2. SNL	1-1	3-2	0	5	W
15/08	ND Beltinci Slovenia 2. SNL	3-0	3-1	1	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tabor Sezana vs ND Slovan Ljubljana?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tabor Sezana win (71%). Probabilities: Tabor Sezana 71%, draw 18%, ND Slovan Ljubljana 11%.

How many goals are expected in Tabor Sezana vs ND Slovan Ljubljana?

The model expects 3.09 goals (Tabor Sezana 2.3 · ND Slovan Ljubljana 0.8), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Tabor Sezana vs ND Slovan Ljubljana?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.