Football · Slovenia 2. SNL · 27/10, 14:00

Prediction: Jadran Dekani vs NK Brezice

Team pages: Jadran Dekani · NK Brezice

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.24Total

Jadran Dekani1.37

NK Brezice0.88

1X2

48% 28% 24%

Jadran Dekani Draw NK Brezice

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Jadran Dekani 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LLDDDWWLWL

NK Brezice 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LLDLLLLDDW

Head-to-head

Jadran Dekani 1–4–1 NK Brezice (6 last)

Jadran Dekani0-0NK Brezice
NK Brezice1-1Jadran Dekani
NK Brezice4-0Jadran Dekani
Jadran Dekani0-0NK Brezice
Jadran Dekani1-0NK Brezice
NK Brezice1-1Jadran Dekani

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jadran Dekani 1480 · NK Brezice 1454

	Jadran Dekani	Draw	NK Brezice
Our model	47%	30%	23%
Market	49%	26%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 2.24 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Jadran Dekani	NK Brezice
Goals for / against (FT)	0.4 / 0.7	1.1 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 6.4	2.2 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0	5.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.50

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.9%

Time*	1	X	2
16:57 +7’	1.83	3.50	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Jadran Dekani 1–4–1 NK Brezice

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/03/22 Slovenia 2. SNL	Jadran Dekani	0-0 HT 0-0	NK Brezice
12/09/21 Slovenia 2. SNL	NK Brezice	1-1 HT 1-1	Jadran Dekani
02/09/20 Slovenia Cup	NK Brezice	4-0 HT 3-0	Jadran Dekani
15/08/20 Slovenia 2. SNL	Jadran Dekani	0-0 HT 0-0	NK Brezice
05/10/19 Slovenia 2. SNL	Jadran Dekani	1-0 HT 1-0	NK Brezice
15/05/19 Slovenia 2. SNL	NK Brezice	1-1 HT 0-1	Jadran Dekani

Standings · Slovenia 2. SNL

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tabor Sezana	11	9	1	1	22	7	28
2	ND Beltinci	11	8	1	2	30	13	25
3	NK Triglav Kranj	11	8	1	2	21	5	25
4	NK Rudar Velenje	11	6	0	5	21	17	18
5	NK Bilje	11	6	0	5	20	22	18
6	NK Jesenice	11	5	2	4	19	16	17
7	NK Bistrica	11	5	2	4	14	15	17
8	ND Slovan Ljubljana	11	5	2	4	14	18	17
9	ND Ilirija Ljubljana	11	5	1	5	17	12	16
10	Jadran Dekani	11	4	3	4	7	7	15
11	NK Vrhnika	11	4	2	5	11	15	14
12	NK Primorje Ajdovscina	11	2	4	5	11	17	10
13	NK Krsko	11	2	3	6	9	19	9
14	ND Dravinja	11	2	2	7	12	26	8
15	NK Krka	11	2	1	8	10	20	7
16	NK Brezice	11	1	3	7	12	21	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Jadran Dekani	NK Brezice
NK Triglav Kranj	0-1 L	0-4 L
NK Vrhnika	1-0 W	1-2 L
Tabor Sezana	0-0 D	0-1 L
NK Krsko	0-0 D	2-1 W
NK Jesenice	0-2 L	2-2 D
NK Primorje Ajdovscina	0-1 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jadran Dekani

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	NK Triglav Kranj Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
10/10	NK Vrhnika Slovenia 2. SNL	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
06/10	NK Bilje Slovenia 2. SNL	0-1	0-2	6	3	L
25/09	ND Ilirija Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL	1-0	1-0	7	3	W
20/09	NK Krka Slovenia 2. SNL	1-1	2-1	3	2	W
13/09	ND Beltinci Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	0-0	9	3	D
04/09	Tabor Sezana Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	0-0	7	8	D
29/08	NK Krsko Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
21/08	NK Jesenice Slovenia 2. SNL	0-1	0-2	11	4	L
15/08	NK Primorje Ajdovscina Slovenia 2. SNL	0-1	0-1	5	7	L

NK Brezice

LLDLLLLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	NK Krsko Slovenia 2. SNL	1-1	2-1	6	7	W
10/10	NK Jesenice Slovenia 2. SNL	1-2	2-2	9	7	D
03/10	NK Primorje Ajdovscina Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	1-1	1	9	D
27/09	ND Slovan Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL	0-1	0-1	4	7	L
19/09	NK Rudar Velenje Slovenia 2. SNL	2-1	3-4	4	4	L
16/09	NK Triglav Kranj Slovenia 2. SNL	0-3	0-4	4	5	L
12/09	NK Bistrica Slovenia 2. SNL	1-0	1-2	0	2	L
05/09	ND Dravinja Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	1-1	6	4	D
28/08	Tabor Sezana Slovenia 2. SNL	0-1	0-1	6	4	L
15/08	NK Vrhnika Slovenia 2. SNL	1-0	1-2	4	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jadran Dekani vs NK Brezice?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Jadran Dekani win (48%). Probabilities: Jadran Dekani 48%, draw 28%, NK Brezice 24%.

How many goals are expected in Jadran Dekani vs NK Brezice?

The model expects 2.24 goals (Jadran Dekani 1.37 · NK Brezice 0.88), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Jadran Dekani vs NK Brezice?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.