Football · Slovenia 2. SNL · 28/10, 14:00

Prediction: ND Beltinci vs NK Triglav Kranj

Team pages: ND Beltinci · NK Triglav Kranj

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.58Total

ND Beltinci1.29

NK Triglav Kranj1.29

1X2

36% 27% 36%

ND Beltinci Draw NK Triglav Kranj

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

ND Beltinci 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

LWLWDWWWWW

NK Triglav Kranj 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

LWWLWWDWWW

Head-to-head

ND Beltinci 3–1–2 NK Triglav Kranj (6 last)

ND Beltinci0-0NK Triglav Kranj
NK Triglav Kranj1-2ND Beltinci
NK Triglav Kranj0-1ND Beltinci
ND Beltinci4-0NK Triglav Kranj
ND Beltinci1-3NK Triglav Kranj
NK Triglav Kranj2-1ND Beltinci

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ND Beltinci 1598 · NK Triglav Kranj 1580

	ND Beltinci	Draw	NK Triglav Kranj
Our model	35%	29%	35%
Market	37%	26%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.58 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours ND Beltinci: 3-1-2.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	ND Beltinci	NK Triglav Kranj
Goals for / against (FT)	2.8 / 1.3	2 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	30/70/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.5	3 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.2	3.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.40

X3.50

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
16:13 +3’	2.40	3.50	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · ND Beltinci 3–1–2 NK Triglav Kranj

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/03/26 Slovenia 2. SNL	ND Beltinci	0-0 HT 0-0	NK Triglav Kranj
15/08/25 Slovenia 2. SNL	NK Triglav Kranj	1-2 HT 1-1	ND Beltinci
09/03/25 Slovenia 2. SNL	NK Triglav Kranj	0-1 HT 0-0	ND Beltinci
29/10/24 Slovenia Cup	ND Beltinci	4-0 HT 2-0	NK Triglav Kranj
23/08/24 Slovenia 2. SNL	ND Beltinci	1-3 HT 1-1	NK Triglav Kranj
18/11/23 Slovenia 2. SNL	NK Triglav Kranj	2-1 HT 0-1	ND Beltinci

Standings · Slovenia 2. SNL

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tabor Sezana	11	9	1	1	22	7	28
2	ND Beltinci	11	8	1	2	30	13	25
3	NK Triglav Kranj	11	8	1	2	21	5	25
4	NK Rudar Velenje	11	6	0	5	21	17	18
5	NK Bilje	11	6	0	5	20	22	18
6	NK Jesenice	11	5	2	4	19	16	17
7	NK Bistrica	11	5	2	4	14	15	17
8	ND Slovan Ljubljana	11	5	2	4	14	18	17
9	ND Ilirija Ljubljana	11	5	1	5	17	12	16
10	Jadran Dekani	11	4	3	4	7	7	15
11	NK Vrhnika	11	4	2	5	11	15	14
12	NK Primorje Ajdovscina	11	2	4	5	11	17	10
13	NK Krsko	11	2	3	6	9	19	9
14	ND Dravinja	11	2	2	7	12	26	8
15	NK Krka	11	2	1	8	10	20	7
16	NK Brezice	11	1	3	7	12	21	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	ND Beltinci	NK Triglav Kranj
Tabor Sezana	5-1 W	0-1 L
Jadran Dekani	0-0 D	1-0 W
NK Krsko	3-2 W	2-0 W
NK Jesenice	1-3 L	4-0 W
NK Primorje Ajdovscina	4-0 W	1-1 D
ND Slovan Ljubljana	1-3 L	3-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: NK Triglav Kranj (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ND Beltinci

LWLWDWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	NK Vrhnika Slovenia 2. SNL	0-1	2-1	5	6	W
10/10	NK Bilje Slovenia 2. SNL	2-1	5-1	5	4	W
04/10	ND Ilirija Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL	1-1	4-2	9	6	W
27/09	NK Krka Slovenia 2. SNL	1-0	3-0	4	1	W
19/09	Tabor Sezana Slovenia 2. SNL	2-0	5-1	1	5	W
13/09	Jadran Dekani Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
05/09	NK Krsko Slovenia 2. SNL	1-1	3-2	9	2	W
29/08	NK Jesenice Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	1-3	4	6	L
23/08	NK Primorje Ajdovscina Slovenia 2. SNL	3-0	4-0	5	5	W
15/08	ND Slovan Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL	0-3	1-3	7	7	L

NK Triglav Kranj

LWWLWWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	Jadran Dekani Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
11/10	NK Krsko Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	2-0	9	1	W
04/10	NK Jesenice Slovenia 2. SNL	1-0	4-0	8	4	W
26/09	NK Primorje Ajdovscina Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	1-1	3	2	D
20/09	ND Slovan Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL	2-0	3-0	5	2	W
16/09	NK Brezice Slovenia 2. SNL	3-0	4-0	3	5	W
13/09	NK Rudar Velenje Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	0-2	5	5	L
04/09	NK Bistrica Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	1-0	3	6	W
29/08	ND Dravinja Slovenia 2. SNL	1-1	4-1	5	6	W
14/08	Tabor Sezana Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	0-1	4	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ND Beltinci vs NK Triglav Kranj?

According to our model, the most likely result is a ND Beltinci win (36%). Probabilities: ND Beltinci 36%, draw 27%, NK Triglav Kranj 36%.

How many goals are expected in ND Beltinci vs NK Triglav Kranj?

The model expects 2.58 goals (ND Beltinci 1.29 · NK Triglav Kranj 1.29), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in ND Beltinci vs NK Triglav Kranj?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.