Football · Slovenia 2. SNL · 16/10, 15:30
Prediction: ND Ilirija Ljubljana vs Tabor Sezana
Team pages: ND Ilirija Ljubljana · Tabor Sezana
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.02Total
ND Ilirija Ljubljana1.3
Tabor Sezana1.72
1X2
ND Ilirija Ljubljana
Draw
Tabor Sezana
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
ND Ilirija Ljubljana
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Tabor Sezana
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
ND Ilirija Ljubljana
2–2–2
Tabor Sezana
(6 last)
- ND Ilirija Ljubljana2-3Tabor Sezana
- Tabor Sezana1-1ND Ilirija Ljubljana
- ND Ilirija Ljubljana1-1Tabor Sezana
- Tabor Sezana5-2ND Ilirija Ljubljana
- ND Ilirija Ljubljana2-0Tabor Sezana
- Tabor Sezana0-3ND Ilirija Ljubljana
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · ND Ilirija Ljubljana 1473 · Tabor Sezana 1611
| ND Ilirija Ljubljana | Draw | Tabor Sezana | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 26% | 46% |
| Market | 28% | 26% | 46% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.02 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tabor Sezana (rating 1473 vs 1611).
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| ND Ilirija Ljubljana | Tabor Sezana | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.3 | 2.1 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.9 | 1.2 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.4 | 1.5 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0 | 5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · ND Ilirija Ljubljana 2–2–2 Tabor Sezana
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/26 Slovenia 2. SNL | ND Ilirija Ljubljana | 2-3 HT 2-0 | Tabor Sezana |
| 21/09/25 Slovenia 2. SNL | Tabor Sezana | 1-1 HT 0-0 | ND Ilirija Ljubljana |
| 16/03/25 Slovenia 2. SNL | ND Ilirija Ljubljana | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Tabor Sezana |
| 31/08/24 Slovenia 2. SNL | Tabor Sezana | 5-2 HT 4-0 | ND Ilirija Ljubljana |
| 26/04/24 Slovenia 2. SNL | ND Ilirija Ljubljana | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Tabor Sezana |
| 08/10/23 Slovenia 2. SNL | Tabor Sezana | 0-3 HT 0-1 | ND Ilirija Ljubljana |
Standings · Slovenia 2. SNL
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tabor Sezana | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 7 | 25 |
| 2 | ND Beltinci | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 12 | 22 |
| 3 | NK Triglav Kranj | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 5 | 22 |
| 4 | NK Jesenice | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 17 |
| 5 | ND Slovan Ljubljana | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 16 | 17 |
| 6 | ND Ilirija Ljubljana | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 11 | 16 |
| 7 | NK Rudar Velenje | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 15 |
| 8 | NK Bilje | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 22 | 15 |
| 9 | Jadran Dekani | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 15 |
| 10 | NK Bistrica | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 14 |
| 11 | NK Vrhnika | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 14 |
| 12 | NK Primorje Ajdovscina | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 10 |
| 13 | NK Krsko | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 9 |
| 14 | NK Krka | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 7 |
| 15 | ND Dravinja | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 5 |
| 16 | NK Brezice | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 3 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | ND Ilirija Ljubljana | Tabor Sezana |
|---|---|---|
| ND Beltinci | 2-4 L | 1-5 L |
| Jadran Dekani | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| NK Krsko | 2-0 W | 6-0 W |
| NK Jesenice | 1-3 L | 3-0 W |
| NK Rudar Velenje | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| NK Bistrica | 6-0 W | 1-0 W |
| ND Dravinja | 1-0 W | 5-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 3 L | 5 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Tabor Sezana (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
ND Ilirija Ljubljana
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | ND Beltinci Slovenia 2. SNL |
1-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 25/09 | Jadran Dekani Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 19/09 | NK Krsko Slovenia 2. SNL |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | NK Jesenice Slovenia 2. SNL |
1-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 04/09 | NK Primorje Ajdovscina Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 28/08 | ND Slovan Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | NK Rudar Velenje Slovenia 2. SNL |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 15/08 | NK Bistrica Slovenia 2. SNL |
2-0 | 6-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 09/08 | ND Dravinja Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 22/05 | ND Beltinci Slovenia 2. SNL |
1-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
Tabor Sezana
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | NK Rudar Velenje Slovenia 2. SNL |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 03/10 | NK Krka Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 26/09 | NK Bistrica Slovenia 2. SNL |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | ND Beltinci Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-2 | 1-5 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 11/09 | ND Dravinja Slovenia 2. SNL |
2-1 | 5-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 04/09 | Jadran Dekani Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 28/08 | NK Brezice Slovenia 2. SNL |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | NK Krsko Slovenia 2. SNL |
5-0 | 6-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 14/08 | NK Triglav Kranj Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 08/08 | NK Jesenice Slovenia 2. SNL |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in ND Ilirija Ljubljana vs Tabor Sezana?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Tabor Sezana win (46%). Probabilities: ND Ilirija Ljubljana 28%, draw 26%, Tabor Sezana 46%.
How many goals are expected in ND Ilirija Ljubljana vs Tabor Sezana?
The model expects 3.02 goals (ND Ilirija Ljubljana 1.3 · Tabor Sezana 1.72), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in ND Ilirija Ljubljana vs Tabor Sezana?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.