Football · Slovenia 2. SNL · 16/10, 18:00
Prediction: NK Triglav Kranj vs Jadran Dekani
Team pages: NK Triglav Kranj · Jadran Dekani
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.59Total
NK Triglav Kranj2.14
Jadran Dekani0.45
1X2
NK Triglav Kranj
Draw
Jadran Dekani
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
2-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
NK Triglav Kranj
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Jadran Dekani
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
NK Triglav Kranj
4–2
Jadran Dekani
(6 last)
- NK Triglav Kranj2-0Jadran Dekani
- Jadran Dekani3-4NK Triglav Kranj
- Jadran Dekani1-6NK Triglav Kranj
- NK Triglav Kranj1-0Jadran Dekani
- NK Triglav Kranj1-2Jadran Dekani
- Jadran Dekani3-1NK Triglav Kranj
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · NK Triglav Kranj 1597 · Jadran Dekani 1478
| NK Triglav Kranj | Draw | Jadran Dekani | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 18% | 6% |
| Market | 78% | 15% | 8% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.59 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NK Triglav Kranj (rating 1597 vs 1478).
- H2H favours NK Triglav Kranj: 4-0-2.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| NK Triglav Kranj | Jadran Dekani | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.1 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/70/0% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5 | 2.9 / 6.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0 | 4.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Triglav Kranj 4–0–2 Jadran Dekani
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05/26 Slovenia 2. SNL | NK Triglav Kranj | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Jadran Dekani |
| 25/10/25 Slovenia 2. SNL | Jadran Dekani | 3-4 HT 3-1 | NK Triglav Kranj |
| 12/05/25 Slovenia 2. SNL | Jadran Dekani | 1-6 HT 1-2 | NK Triglav Kranj |
| 03/11/24 Slovenia 2. SNL | NK Triglav Kranj | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Jadran Dekani |
| 18/05/24 Slovenia 2. SNL | NK Triglav Kranj | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Jadran Dekani |
| 28/10/23 Slovenia 2. SNL | Jadran Dekani | 3-1 HT 3-0 | NK Triglav Kranj |
Standings · Slovenia 2. SNL
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tabor Sezana | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 7 | 25 |
| 2 | ND Beltinci | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 12 | 22 |
| 3 | NK Triglav Kranj | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 5 | 22 |
| 4 | NK Jesenice | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 17 |
| 5 | ND Slovan Ljubljana | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 16 | 17 |
| 6 | ND Ilirija Ljubljana | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 11 | 16 |
| 7 | NK Rudar Velenje | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 15 |
| 8 | NK Bilje | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 22 | 15 |
| 9 | Jadran Dekani | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 15 |
| 10 | NK Bistrica | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 14 |
| 11 | NK Vrhnika | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 14 |
| 12 | NK Primorje Ajdovscina | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 10 |
| 13 | NK Krsko | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 9 |
| 14 | NK Krka | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 7 |
| 15 | ND Dravinja | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 5 |
| 16 | NK Brezice | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | NK Triglav Kranj | Jadran Dekani |
|---|---|---|
| NK Krsko | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| NK Jesenice | 4-0 W | 0-2 L |
| NK Primorje Ajdovscina | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| ND Slovan Ljubljana | 3-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Tabor Sezana | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| NK Vrhnika | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: NK Triglav Kranj (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
NK Triglav Kranj
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | NK Krsko Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 04/10 | NK Jesenice Slovenia 2. SNL |
1-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 26/09 | NK Primorje Ajdovscina Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 20/09 | ND Slovan Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 16/09 | NK Brezice Slovenia 2. SNL |
3-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | NK Rudar Velenje Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 04/09 | NK Bistrica Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 29/08 | ND Dravinja Slovenia 2. SNL |
1-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 14/08 | Tabor Sezana Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 07/08 | NK Vrhnika Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Jadran Dekani
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | NK Vrhnika Slovenia 2. SNL |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 06/10 | NK Bilje Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 25/09 | ND Ilirija Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | NK Krka Slovenia 2. SNL |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | ND Beltinci Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 04/09 | Tabor Sezana Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 29/08 | NK Krsko Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 21/08 | NK Jesenice Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-1 | 0-2 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | NK Primorje Ajdovscina Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 08/08 | ND Slovan Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in NK Triglav Kranj vs Jadran Dekani?
According to our model, the most likely result is a NK Triglav Kranj win (77%). Probabilities: NK Triglav Kranj 77%, draw 16%, Jadran Dekani 7%.
How many goals are expected in NK Triglav Kranj vs Jadran Dekani?
The model expects 2.59 goals (NK Triglav Kranj 2.14 · Jadran Dekani 0.45), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in NK Triglav Kranj vs Jadran Dekani?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.