Football · Slovenia 2. SNL · 10/10, 16:00

Prediction: ND Beltinci vs NK Bilje

Team pages: ND Beltinci · NK Bilje

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.53Total

ND Beltinci2.46

NK Bilje1.07

1X2

67% 19% 14%

ND Beltinci Draw NK Bilje

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

ND Beltinci 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWLWDWWW

NK Bilje 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWWLLWWLLW

Head-to-head

ND Beltinci 3–1–2 NK Bilje (6 last)

ND Beltinci1-3NK Bilje
NK Bilje0-1ND Beltinci
NK Bilje4-2ND Beltinci
ND Beltinci2-1NK Bilje
NK Bilje0-0ND Beltinci
ND Beltinci2-1NK Bilje

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ND Beltinci 1574 · NK Bilje 1524

	ND Beltinci	Draw	NK Bilje
Our model	67%	19%	14%
Market	67%	20%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 3.53 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ND Beltinci (rating 1574 vs 1524).
H2H favours ND Beltinci: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	ND Beltinci	NK Bilje
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 1.2	1.7 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.6	1.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.7	2.4 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.1	4.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.33

X4.50

26.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.95

2 (+1.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
12:24 +3’	1.33	4.50	6.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · ND Beltinci 3–1–2 NK Bilje

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Slovenia 2. SNL	ND Beltinci	1-3 HT 0-2	NK Bilje
08/11/25 Slovenia 2. SNL	NK Bilje	0-1 HT 0-1	ND Beltinci
06/04/25 Slovenia 2. SNL	NK Bilje	4-2 HT 1-1	ND Beltinci
22/09/24 Slovenia 2. SNL	ND Beltinci	2-1 HT 2-1	NK Bilje
16/03/24 Slovenia 2. SNL	NK Bilje	0-0 HT 0-0	ND Beltinci
03/09/23 Slovenia 2. SNL	ND Beltinci	2-1 HT 2-0	NK Bilje

Standings · Slovenia 2. SNL

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tabor Sezana	10	8	1	1	21	7	25
2	NK Triglav Kranj	9	6	1	2	18	5	19
3	ND Beltinci	9	6	1	2	23	11	19
4	NK Jesenice	9	5	1	3	16	12	16
5	ND Slovan Ljubljana	9	5	1	3	13	15	16
6	NK Rudar Velenje	10	5	0	5	19	17	15
7	NK Bilje	9	5	0	4	17	17	15
8	NK Vrhnika	9	4	2	3	10	12	14
9	ND Ilirija Ljubljana	9	4	1	4	15	10	13
10	NK Bistrica	9	4	1	4	12	14	13
11	Jadran Dekani	9	3	3	3	6	6	12
12	NK Primorje Ajdovscina	9	2	3	4	10	15	9
13	NK Krsko	9	2	3	4	8	15	9
14	NK Krka	9	2	1	6	9	16	7
15	ND Dravinja	9	1	1	7	9	24	4
16	NK Brezice	9	0	2	7	8	18	2

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	ND Beltinci	NK Bilje
Jadran Dekani	0-0 D	2-0 W
NK Krsko	3-2 W	1-3 L
NK Jesenice	1-3 L	0-2 L
NK Primorje Ajdovscina	4-0 W	3-2 W
ND Slovan Ljubljana	1-3 L	4-0 W
NK Rudar Velenje	2-0 W	1-4 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: ND Beltinci (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ND Beltinci

WWLWLWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	ND Ilirija Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL	1-1	4-2	9	6	W
27/09	NK Krka Slovenia 2. SNL	1-0	3-0	4	1	W
19/09	Tabor Sezana Slovenia 2. SNL	2-0	5-1	1	5	W
13/09	Jadran Dekani Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
05/09	NK Krsko Slovenia 2. SNL	1-1	3-2	9	2	W
29/08	NK Jesenice Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	1-3	4	6	L
23/08	NK Primorje Ajdovscina Slovenia 2. SNL	3-0	4-0	5	5	W
15/08	ND Slovan Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL	0-3	1-3	7	7	L
07/08	NK Rudar Velenje Slovenia 2. SNL	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
22/05	ND Ilirija Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL	3-1	3-1	6	4	W

NK Bilje

LWWLLWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/10	Jadran Dekani Slovenia 2. SNL	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
27/09	NK Krsko Slovenia 2. SNL	1-2	1-3	4	2	L
20/09	NK Jesenice Slovenia 2. SNL	0-1	0-2	4	6	L
11/09	NK Primorje Ajdovscina Slovenia 2. SNL	3-1	3-2	3	8	W
05/09	ND Slovan Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL	2-0	4-0	8	3	W
29/08	NK Rudar Velenje Slovenia 2. SNL	1-1	1-4	3	3	L
22/08	NK Bistrica Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	1-4	2	7	L
16/08	ND Dravinja Slovenia 2. SNL	2-0	3-1	5	4	W
08/08	NK Brezice Slovenia 2. SNL	1-0	2-1	5	7	W
22/05	NK Brinje Grosuplje Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	0-1	1	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ND Beltinci vs NK Bilje?

According to our model, the most likely result is a ND Beltinci win (67%). Probabilities: ND Beltinci 67%, draw 19%, NK Bilje 14%.

How many goals are expected in ND Beltinci vs NK Bilje?

The model expects 3.53 goals (ND Beltinci 2.46 · NK Bilje 1.07), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in ND Beltinci vs NK Bilje?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.