Football · Slovenia 2. SNL · 27/09, 16:00

Prediction: ND Beltinci vs NK Krka

Team pages: ND Beltinci · NK Krka

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.13Total

ND Beltinci2.04

NK Krka1.1

1X2

58% 23% 19%

ND Beltinci Draw NK Krka

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

ND Beltinci 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LLWWLWLWDW

NK Krka 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WWLDLLLWWL

Head-to-head

ND Beltinci 2–2–2 NK Krka (6 last)

NK Krka0-0ND Beltinci
ND Beltinci4-0NK Krka
ND Beltinci1-1NK Krka
NK Krka1-0ND Beltinci
ND Beltinci0-1NK Krka
NK Krka0-2ND Beltinci

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ND Beltinci 1529 · NK Krka 1493

	ND Beltinci	Draw	NK Krka
Our model	58%	23%	19%
Market	58%	23%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 3.13 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 12 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	ND Beltinci	NK Krka
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.5	1.8 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.7	1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 5.6	2.6 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.1	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.53

X3.80

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.95

2 (+1)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.00

Under 2.751.80

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.53	Bet365 1.53
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
14:53 +36’	1.53	3.80	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · ND Beltinci 2–2–2 NK Krka

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
20/03/26 Slovenia 2. SNL	NK Krka	0-0 HT 0-0	ND Beltinci
07/09/25 Slovenia 2. SNL	ND Beltinci	4-0 HT 2-0	NK Krka
12/04/25 Slovenia 2. SNL	ND Beltinci	1-1 HT 1-1	NK Krka
29/09/24 Slovenia 2. SNL	NK Krka	1-0 HT 0-0	ND Beltinci
19/04/24 Slovenia 2. SNL	ND Beltinci	0-1 HT 0-1	NK Krka
29/09/23 Slovenia 2. SNL	NK Krka	0-2 HT 0-1	ND Beltinci

Standings · Slovenia 2. SNL

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tabor Sezana	7	5	1	1	17	6	16
2	NK Triglav Kranj	7	5	0	2	13	4	15
3	ND Ilirija Ljubljana	7	4	1	2	13	5	13
4	ND Beltinci	7	4	1	2	16	9	13
5	NK Jesenice	7	4	1	2	11	8	13
6	NK Vrhnika	7	4	1	2	10	7	13
7	NK Rudar Velenje	7	4	0	3	15	12	12
8	NK Bilje	7	4	0	3	14	14	12
9	NK Bistrica	7	3	1	3	9	12	10
10	ND Slovan Ljubljana	7	3	1	3	8	14	10
11	Jadran Dekani	7	2	3	2	5	4	9
12	NK Krka	7	2	1	4	8	11	7
13	NK Primorje Ajdovscina	7	2	1	4	8	13	7
14	NK Krsko	7	1	2	4	5	14	5
15	ND Dravinja	7	1	1	5	7	17	4
16	NK Brezice	7	0	1	6	7	16	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	ND Beltinci	NK Krka
Jadran Dekani	0-0 D	1-2 L
NK Krsko	3-2 W	1-0 W
NK Jesenice	1-3 L	2-0 W
NK Primorje Ajdovscina	4-0 W	2-3 L
ND Slovan Ljubljana	1-3 L	2-3 L
NK Rudar Velenje	2-0 W	0-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: ND Beltinci (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ND Beltinci

LLWWLWLWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Tabor Sezana Slovenia 2. SNL	2-0	5-1	1	5	W
13/09	Jadran Dekani Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
05/09	NK Krsko Slovenia 2. SNL	1-1	3-2	9	2	W
29/08	NK Jesenice Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	1-3	4	6	L
23/08	NK Primorje Ajdovscina Slovenia 2. SNL	3-0	4-0	5	5	W
15/08	ND Slovan Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL	0-3	1-3	7	7	L
07/08	NK Rudar Velenje Slovenia 2. SNL	1-0	2-0	7	3	W
22/05	ND Ilirija Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL	3-1	3-1	6	4	W
16/05	NK Bilje Slovenia 2. SNL	0-2	1-3	5	4	L
10/05	NK Nafta 1903 Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	1-2	6	4	L

NK Krka

WWLDLLLWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Jadran Dekani Slovenia 2. SNL	1-1	1-2	2	2	L
12/09	NK Krsko Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	1-0	9	7	W
05/09	NK Jesenice Slovenia 2. SNL	1-0	2-0	8	5	W
28/08	NK Primorje Ajdovscina Slovenia 2. SNL	2-1	2-3	6	4	L
21/08	ND Slovan Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL	1-1	2-3	11	5	L
14/08	NK Rudar Velenje Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	0-3	3	5	L
07/08	NK Bistrica Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	0-0	7	2	D
23/05	Jadran Dekani Slovenia 2. SNL	3-1	3-4	–	–	L
15/05	NK Jesenice Slovenia 2. SNL	1-2	3-2	8	3	W
10/05	NK Krsko Slovenia 2. SNL	1-0	4-0	4	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ND Beltinci vs NK Krka?

According to our model, the most likely result is a ND Beltinci win (58%). Probabilities: ND Beltinci 58%, draw 23%, NK Krka 19%.

How many goals are expected in ND Beltinci vs NK Krka?

The model expects 3.13 goals (ND Beltinci 2.04 · NK Krka 1.1), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in ND Beltinci vs NK Krka?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.