Football · Slovenia 2. SNL · 04/10, 16:00

Prediction: NK Bilje vs Jadran Dekani

Team pages: NK Bilje · Jadran Dekani

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.57Total

NK Bilje1.09

Jadran Dekani1.48

1X2

27% 27% 46%

NK Bilje Draw Jadran Dekani

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

NK Bilje 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLWWLLWWLL

Jadran Dekani 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DWWLLDDDWW

Head-to-head

NK Bilje 2–4–0 Jadran Dekani (6 last)

Jadran Dekani2-2NK Bilje
NK Bilje0-0Jadran Dekani
Jadran Dekani2-4NK Bilje
NK Bilje2-0Jadran Dekani
Jadran Dekani2-2NK Bilje
NK Bilje2-2Jadran Dekani

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Bilje 1522 · Jadran Dekani 1502

	NK Bilje	Draw	Jadran Dekani
Our model	27%	28%	45%
Market	28%	26%	46%

Estimated total (ours) 2.57 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours NK Bilje: 2-4-0.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NK Bilje	Jadran Dekani
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.9	1.2 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 3.9	3 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0	4.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.25

X3.40

21.95

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.80

2 (-0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
18:39 +12’	3.25	3.40	1.95

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Bilje 2–4–0 Jadran Dekani

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Slovenia 2. SNL	Jadran Dekani	2-2 HT 2-2	NK Bilje
04/10/25 Slovenia 2. SNL	NK Bilje	0-0 HT 0-0	Jadran Dekani
01/03/25 Slovenia 2. SNL	Jadran Dekani	2-4 HT 1-3	NK Bilje
17/08/24 Slovenia 2. SNL	NK Bilje	2-0 HT 0-0	Jadran Dekani
28/04/24 Slovenia 2. SNL	Jadran Dekani	2-2 HT 0-0	NK Bilje
07/10/23 Slovenia 2. SNL	NK Bilje	2-2 HT 1-2	Jadran Dekani

Standings · Slovenia 2. SNL

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tabor Sezana	8	6	1	1	18	6	19
2	ND Beltinci	8	5	1	2	19	9	16
3	NK Triglav Kranj	8	5	1	2	14	5	16
4	NK Jesenice	8	5	1	2	16	8	16
5	NK Rudar Velenje	8	5	0	3	18	13	15
6	ND Ilirija Ljubljana	8	4	1	3	13	6	13
7	NK Vrhnika	8	4	1	3	10	12	13
8	ND Slovan Ljubljana	8	4	1	3	9	14	13
9	NK Bilje	8	4	0	4	15	17	12
10	Jadran Dekani	8	3	3	2	6	4	12
11	NK Bistrica	8	3	1	4	9	13	10
12	NK Primorje Ajdovscina	8	2	2	4	9	14	8
13	NK Krsko	8	2	2	4	8	15	8
14	NK Krka	8	2	1	5	8	14	7
15	ND Dravinja	8	1	1	6	8	20	4
16	NK Brezice	8	0	1	7	7	17	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NK Bilje	Jadran Dekani
NK Krsko	1-3 L	0-0 D
NK Jesenice	0-2 L	0-2 L
NK Primorje Ajdovscina	3-2 W	0-1 L
ND Slovan Ljubljana	4-0 W	3-0 W
NK Rudar Velenje	1-4 L	2-2 D
ND Beltinci	3-1 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: NK Bilje (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Bilje

WLWWLLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	NK Krsko Slovenia 2. SNL	1-2	1-3	4	2	L
20/09	NK Jesenice Slovenia 2. SNL	0-1	0-2	4	6	L
11/09	NK Primorje Ajdovscina Slovenia 2. SNL	3-1	3-2	3	8	W
05/09	ND Slovan Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL	2-0	4-0	8	3	W
29/08	NK Rudar Velenje Slovenia 2. SNL	1-1	1-4	3	3	L
22/08	NK Bistrica Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	1-4	2	7	L
16/08	ND Dravinja Slovenia 2. SNL	2-0	3-1	5	4	W
08/08	NK Brezice Slovenia 2. SNL	1-0	2-1	5	7	W
22/05	NK Brinje Grosuplje Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
16/05	ND Beltinci Slovenia 2. SNL	2-0	3-1	4	4	W

Jadran Dekani

DWWLLDDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/09	ND Ilirija Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL	1-0	1-0	7	3	W
20/09	NK Krka Slovenia 2. SNL	1-1	2-1	3	2	W
13/09	ND Beltinci Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	0-0	9	3	D
04/09	Tabor Sezana Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	0-0	7	8	D
29/08	NK Krsko Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
21/08	NK Jesenice Slovenia 2. SNL	0-1	0-2	11	4	L
15/08	NK Primorje Ajdovscina Slovenia 2. SNL	0-1	0-1	5	7	L
08/08	ND Slovan Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL	2-0	3-0	7	7	W
23/05	NK Krka Slovenia 2. SNL	1-3	4-3	–	–	W
15/05	NK Rudar Velenje Slovenia 2. SNL	1-1	2-2	4	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Bilje vs Jadran Dekani?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Jadran Dekani win (46%). Probabilities: NK Bilje 27%, draw 27%, Jadran Dekani 46%.

How many goals are expected in NK Bilje vs Jadran Dekani?

The model expects 2.57 goals (NK Bilje 1.09 · Jadran Dekani 1.48), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Bilje vs Jadran Dekani?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.