Football · Slovenia 2. SNL · 03/10, 18:00

Prediction: Tabor Sezana vs NK Krka

Team pages: Tabor Sezana · NK Krka

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.52Total

Tabor Sezana2.47

NK Krka1.04

1X2

68% 19% 13%

Tabor Sezana Draw NK Krka

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Tabor Sezana 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWDWLW

NK Krka 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLDLLLWWLL

Head-to-head

Tabor Sezana 3–1–2 NK Krka (6 last)

NK Krka0-3Tabor Sezana
Tabor Sezana0-0NK Krka
Tabor Sezana0-1NK Krka
NK Krka0-1Tabor Sezana
NK Krka0-5Tabor Sezana
Tabor Sezana0-2NK Krka

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tabor Sezana 1612 · NK Krka 1468

	Tabor Sezana	Draw	NK Krka
Our model	68%	19%	13%
Market	67%	20%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 3.52 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tabor Sezana (rating 1612 vs 1468).
H2H favours Tabor Sezana: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tabor Sezana	NK Krka
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.1	1.4 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.4	0.9 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.9	2.4 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.1	3.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.33

X4.50

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.93

2 (+1.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
17:23 +10’	1.33	4.50	7.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Tabor Sezana 3–1–2 NK Krka

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/11/25 Slovenia 2. SNL	NK Krka	0-3 HT 0-0	Tabor Sezana
09/08/25 Slovenia 2. SNL	Tabor Sezana	0-0 HT 0-0	NK Krka
18/05/25 Slovenia 2. SNL	Tabor Sezana	0-1 HT 0-1	NK Krka
10/11/24 Slovenia 2. SNL	NK Krka	0-1 HT 0-1	Tabor Sezana
12/04/24 Slovenia 2. SNL	NK Krka	0-5 HT 0-2	Tabor Sezana
23/09/23 Slovenia 2. SNL	Tabor Sezana	0-2 HT 0-1	NK Krka

Standings · Slovenia 2. SNL

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tabor Sezana	8	6	1	1	18	6	19
2	ND Beltinci	8	5	1	2	19	9	16
3	NK Triglav Kranj	8	5	1	2	14	5	16
4	NK Jesenice	8	5	1	2	16	8	16
5	NK Rudar Velenje	8	5	0	3	18	13	15
6	ND Ilirija Ljubljana	8	4	1	3	13	6	13
7	NK Vrhnika	8	4	1	3	10	12	13
8	ND Slovan Ljubljana	8	4	1	3	9	14	13
9	NK Bilje	8	4	0	4	15	17	12
10	Jadran Dekani	8	3	3	2	6	4	12
11	NK Bistrica	8	3	1	4	9	13	10
12	NK Primorje Ajdovscina	8	2	2	4	9	14	8
13	NK Krsko	8	2	2	4	8	15	8
14	NK Krka	8	2	1	5	8	14	7
15	ND Dravinja	8	1	1	6	8	20	4
16	NK Brezice	8	0	1	7	7	17	1

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tabor Sezana	NK Krka
NK Bistrica	1-0 W	0-0 D
ND Beltinci	1-5 L	0-3 L
Jadran Dekani	0-0 D	1-2 L
NK Krsko	6-0 W	1-0 W
NK Jesenice	3-0 W	2-0 W
NK Rudar Velenje	2-0 W	0-3 L
ND Slovan Ljubljana	1-5 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Tabor Sezana (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tabor Sezana

LWWWWWDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	NK Bistrica Slovenia 2. SNL	1-0	1-0	4	3	W
19/09	ND Beltinci Slovenia 2. SNL	0-2	1-5	3	5	L
11/09	ND Dravinja Slovenia 2. SNL	2-1	5-1	4	6	W
04/09	Jadran Dekani Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	0-0	3	8	D
28/08	NK Brezice Slovenia 2. SNL	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
23/08	NK Krsko Slovenia 2. SNL	5-0	6-0	4	4	W
14/08	NK Triglav Kranj Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	1-0	6	6	W
08/08	NK Jesenice Slovenia 2. SNL	2-0	3-0	3	3	W
23/05	NK Rudar Velenje Slovenia 2. SNL	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
17/05	ND Slovan Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL	0-1	1-5	4	6	L

NK Krka

WLDLLLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	ND Beltinci Slovenia 2. SNL	0-1	0-3	4	1	L
20/09	Jadran Dekani Slovenia 2. SNL	1-1	1-2	2	2	L
12/09	NK Krsko Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	1-0	9	7	W
05/09	NK Jesenice Slovenia 2. SNL	1-0	2-0	8	5	W
28/08	NK Primorje Ajdovscina Slovenia 2. SNL	2-1	2-3	6	4	L
21/08	ND Slovan Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL	1-1	2-3	11	5	L
14/08	NK Rudar Velenje Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	0-3	3	5	L
07/08	NK Bistrica Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	0-0	7	2	D
23/05	Jadran Dekani Slovenia 2. SNL	3-1	3-4	–	–	L
15/05	NK Jesenice Slovenia 2. SNL	1-2	3-2	8	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tabor Sezana vs NK Krka?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tabor Sezana win (68%). Probabilities: Tabor Sezana 68%, draw 19%, NK Krka 13%.

How many goals are expected in Tabor Sezana vs NK Krka?

The model expects 3.52 goals (Tabor Sezana 2.47 · NK Krka 1.04), with a 58% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Tabor Sezana vs NK Krka?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.