Football · Australia NPL Queensland Women · 14/07, 11:30
Prediction: Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) vs Brisbane Olympic FC (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.78Total
Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)1.96
Brisbane Olympic FC (W)0.82
1X2
Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)
Draw
Brisbane Olympic FC (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Brisbane Olympic FC (W)
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)
4–1–1
Brisbane Olympic FC (W)
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) 1529 · Brisbane Olympic FC (W) 1527
| Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) | Draw | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 23% | 14% |
| Market | 64% | 21% | 15% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.78 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Eastern Suburbs NPL (W): 4-1-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.9 | 1.5 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 6.5 | 2.2 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.7 / 0 | 0.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) 4–1–1 Brisbane Olympic FC (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) |
| 07/02/26 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) |
| 22/07/25 Australia Queensland Cup Women | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) |
| 21/06/24 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) |
| 20/04/24 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) | 5-1 HT 2-0 | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) |
| 11/02/24 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) |
Standings · Australia NPL Queensland Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gold Coast Knights (W) | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 59 | 16 | 46 |
| 2 | Brisbane City (W) | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 50 | 13 | 45 |
| 3 | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 19 | 43 |
| 4 | Lions FC (W) | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 48 | 20 | 39 |
| 5 | Gold Coast United (W) | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 30 |
| 6 | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 28 | 27 | 30 |
| 7 | Capalaba (W) | 21 | 7 | 1 | 13 | 29 | 46 | 22 |
| 8 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) | 21 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 25 | 35 | 20 |
| 9 | FQ QAS Women | 22 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 43 | 64 | 19 |
| 10 | Souths United NPL (W) | 22 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 14 | 99 | 1 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Lions FC (W) | 1-3 L | 0-5 L |
| Brisbane City (W) | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Gold Coast United (W) | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Capalaba (W) | 3-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Souths United NPL (W) | 4-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Gold Coast Knights (W) | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 2 L | 4 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Lions FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 05/07 | Brisbane City (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 30/06 | Gold Coast United (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 20/06 | Brisbane City (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 06/06 | Capalaba (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 30/05 | FQ QAS Women Australia NPL Queensland Women |
3-2 | 4-2 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Gold Coast United (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 13 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Souths United NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
3-1 | 4-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 12/05 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 08/05 | Gold Coast Knights (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
Brisbane Olympic FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Gold Coast Knights (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 04/07 | Lions FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-1 | 0-5 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 30/06 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 24/06 | Gold Coast Knights (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 20/06 | Lions FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-2 | 1-3 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 06/06 | Gold Coast United (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 03/06 | Capalaba (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-1 | 4-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Brisbane City (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 08/05 | Souths United NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) vs Brisbane Olympic FC (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) win (63%). Probabilities: Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) 63%, draw 22%, Brisbane Olympic FC (W) 15%.
How many goals are expected in Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) vs Brisbane Olympic FC (W)?
The model expects 2.78 goals (Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) 1.96 · Brisbane Olympic FC (W) 0.82), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) vs Brisbane Olympic FC (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.