Prediction: KFUM vs Bodo/Glimt
Expected goals: 3.03 (KFUM 0.91 · Bodo/Glimt 2.12). The model gives 14% home, 21% draw, 65% away. Over 3 goals (50%) and both teams to score (53%). Most likely score: 0-2.
Recent form leaves KFUM with 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses over 10 games; Bodo/Glimt has piled up 6-3-1 in the same span. In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, KFUM won 0 and Bodo/Glimt 2, with 3 draws.
| KFUM | Draw | Bodo/Glimt | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 14% | 22% | 64% |
| Market | 15% | 20% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bodo/Glimt (rating 1444 vs 1587).
- H2H favours Bodo/Glimt: 2-3-0.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| KFUM | Bodo/Glimt | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.8 | 2.8 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1 | 1.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 60/10/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 3.5 | 2.8 / 7.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.4 | 2.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · KFUM 0–3–2 Bodo/Glimt
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/04/26 Norway Cup | Bodo/Glimt | 1-1 HT 0-1 | KFUM |
| 21/11/25 Norway Eliteserien | KFUM | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Bodo/Glimt |
| 27/04/25 Norway Eliteserien | Bodo/Glimt | 3-0 HT 0-0 | KFUM |
| 27/07/24 Norway Eliteserien | KFUM | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Bodo/Glimt |
| 24/05/24 Norway Eliteserien | Bodo/Glimt | 2-2 HT 1-1 | KFUM |
Standings · Norway Eliteserien
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viking FK | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 10 | 27 |
| 2 | Tromso | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 14 | 25 |
| 3 | Bodo/Glimt | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 23 |
| 4 | Lillestrom | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 11 | 19 |
| 5 | Molde | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 19 |
| 6 | Ham-Kam | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 17 |
| 7 | Sarpsborg | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 14 |
| 8 | Sandefjord | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 14 |
| 9 | Valerenga | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 17 | 14 |
| 10 | Fredrikstad | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 20 | 14 |
| 11 | SK Brann | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 20 | 13 |
| 12 | KFUM | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 12 |
| 13 | Aalesund | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 20 | 11 |
| 14 | Kristiansund BK | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 18 | 11 |
| 15 | Rosenborg | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 9 |
| 16 | IK Start | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 28 | 7 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | KFUM | Bodo/Glimt |
|---|---|---|
| Molde | 1-5 L | 4-1 W |
| Tromso | 0-0 D | 5-0 W |
| Rosenborg | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| SK Brann | 1-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Bodo/Glimt (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
KFUM
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Vendsyssel FF Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 21/06 | Molde Europe Friendlies |
0-3 | 1-5 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 29/05 | Tromso Norway Eliteserien |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 25/05 | Rosenborg Norway Eliteserien |
2-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | SK Brann Norway Eliteserien |
0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Viking FK Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Valerenga Norway Eliteserien |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 26/04 | Sarpsborg Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 22/04 | Bodo/Glimt Norway Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 19/04 | Ham-Kam Norway Eliteserien |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
Bodo/Glimt
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Molde Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 29/05 | Rosenborg Norway Eliteserien |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 24/05 | SK Brann Norway Eliteserien |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 20/05 | IK Start Norway Eliteserien |
2-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Tromso Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | SK Brann Norway Cup |
1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 04/05 | Molde Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 30/04 | IK Start Norway Eliteserien |
2-0 | 5-0 | 13 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 22/04 | KFUM Norway Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in KFUM vs Bodo/Glimt?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Bodo/Glimt win (65%). Probabilities: KFUM 14%, draw 21%, Bodo/Glimt 65%.
How many goals are expected in KFUM vs Bodo/Glimt?
The model expects 3.03 goals (KFUM 0.91 · Bodo/Glimt 2.12), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in KFUM vs Bodo/Glimt?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.