Football · Norway Eliteserien · 18/07, 14:00

Prediction: Ham-Kam vs Tromso

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.47Total
Ham-Kam1.05
Tromso1.42
1X2
27% 28% 45%
Ham-Kam Draw Tromso
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Ham-Kam 5-4-1 (W-D-L)
WWDWLWDDWD
Tromso 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
DWWLDWLDDW
Head-to-head
Ham-Kam 1–2–3 Tromso (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ham-Kam 1537 · Tromso 1522
Ham-KamDrawTromso
Our model26%29%44%
Market27%28%45%
Estimated total (ours) 2.47 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Tromso: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Ham-KamTromso
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 11.2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.50.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 3.91.8 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.3 / 0.22.5 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ham-Kam 123 Tromso

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DateHomeScoreAway
21/09/25
Norway Eliteserien
Tromso1-0
HT 0-0
Ham-Kam
22/06/25
Norway Eliteserien
Ham-Kam1-3
HT 0-2
Tromso
03/11/24
Norway Eliteserien
Tromso3-3
HT 1-2
Ham-Kam
07/07/24
Norway Eliteserien
Ham-Kam0-0
HT 0-0
Tromso
23/03/24
Europe Friendlies
Tromso0-1
HT 0-1
Ham-Kam
17/09/23
Norway Eliteserien
Tromso2-1
HT 2-0
Ham-Kam

Standings · Norway Eliteserien

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Tromso 14842 221428
2 Viking FK 11902 291127
3 Bodo/Glimt 12822 301126
4 Lillestrom 12714 191122
5 Molde 12624 201520
6 Ham-Kam 11533 191818
7 Sarpsborg 12525 141617
8 SK Brann 13517 262116
9 Sandefjord 12435 121515
10 Fredrikstad 12426 152214
11 Valerenga 12426 132114
12 Aalesund 12264 172212
13 Rosenborg 12336 121812
14 KFUM 12336 121912
15 Kristiansund BK 12327 112111
16 IK Start 13148 14307

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentHam-KamTromso
Sandefjord 2-2 D 3-1 W
Aalesund 2-2 D 1-1 D
Lillestrom 2-0 W 0-0 D
Valerenga 1-0 W 4-0 W
IK Start 2-1 W 1-1 D
KFUM 4-0 W 0-0 D
Record vs common 4 W 2 D 0 L 2 W 4 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Ham-Kam (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ham-Kam

WWDWLWDDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/07 Sandefjord
Norway Eliteserien
0-1 2-2 74 D
27/06 IFK Goteborg
Club Friendly List
0-1 2-1 41 W
20/06 Fredrikstad
Europe Friendlies
1-0 1-1 41 D
29/05 Aalesund
Norway Eliteserien
1-1 2-2 42 D
25/05 Lillestrom
Norway Eliteserien
1-0 2-0 42 W
16/05 Fredrikstad
Norway Eliteserien
0-2 1-2 73 L
08/05 Valerenga
Norway Eliteserien
1-0 1-0 14 W
03/05 Kristiansund BK
Norway Eliteserien
0-0 1-1 34 D
26/04 IK Start
Norway Eliteserien
0-0 2-1 52 W
19/04 KFUM
Norway Eliteserien
2-0 4-0 02 W

Tromso

DWWLDWLDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/07 Valerenga
Norway Eliteserien
3-0 4-0 42 W
29/05 KFUM
Norway Eliteserien
0-0 0-0 52 D
25/05 Aalesund
Norway Eliteserien
1-0 1-1 63 D
16/05 Bodo/Glimt
Norway Eliteserien
0-1 0-5 12 L
10/05 Molde
Norway Eliteserien
0-0 2-0 54 W
03/05 IK Start
Norway Eliteserien
1-0 1-1 25 D
29/04 SK Brann
Norway Eliteserien
0-3 0-5 64 L
26/04 Sandefjord
Norway Eliteserien
2-0 3-1 100 W
19/04 Sarpsborg
Norway Eliteserien
0-0 1-0 31 W
15/04 Lillestrom
Norway Eliteserien
0-0 0-0 63 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ham-Kam vs Tromso?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Tromso win (45%). Probabilities: Ham-Kam 27%, draw 28%, Tromso 45%.

How many goals are expected in Ham-Kam vs Tromso?

The model expects 2.47 goals (Ham-Kam 1.05 · Tromso 1.42), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Ham-Kam vs Tromso?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.