Prediction: IK Start vs Rosenborg
| IK Start | Draw | Rosenborg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 27% | 41% |
| Market | 33% | 26% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rosenborg (rating 1426 vs 1514).
- H2H favours Rosenborg: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| IK Start | Rosenborg | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.6 | 1.4 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.9 / 2.7 | 2.7 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.2 | 4.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · IK Start 0–1–5 Rosenborg
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/02/26 Europe Friendlies | Rosenborg | 2-1 HT 2-0 | IK Start |
| 01/11/20 Norway Eliteserien | Rosenborg | 1-0 HT 0-0 | IK Start |
| 16/07/20 Norway Eliteserien | IK Start | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Rosenborg |
| 11/11/18 Norway Eliteserien | IK Start | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Rosenborg |
| 01/11/18 Norway Cup | Rosenborg | 2-1 HT 0-1 | IK Start |
| 22/04/18 Norway Eliteserien | Rosenborg | 2-0 HT 0-0 | IK Start |
Standings · Norway Eliteserien
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tromso | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 14 | 28 |
| 2 | Viking FK | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 11 | 27 |
| 3 | Bodo/Glimt | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 26 |
| 4 | Lillestrom | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 11 | 22 |
| 5 | Molde | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 20 |
| 6 | Ham-Kam | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 18 | 18 |
| 7 | Sarpsborg | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 17 |
| 8 | SK Brann | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 21 | 16 |
| 9 | Sandefjord | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 15 |
| 10 | Fredrikstad | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 14 |
| 11 | Valerenga | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 21 | 14 |
| 12 | Aalesund | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 22 | 12 |
| 13 | Rosenborg | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 12 |
| 14 | KFUM | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 12 |
| 15 | Kristiansund BK | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 11 |
| 16 | IK Start | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 7 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | IK Start | Rosenborg |
|---|---|---|
| SK Brann | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Bodo/Glimt | 1-4 L | 2-2 D |
| Viking FK | 3-6 L | 0-3 L |
| Molde | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Lillestrom | 1-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 4 L | 2 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Rosenborg (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
IK Start
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | SK Brann Norway Eliteserien |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 29/05 | Fredrikstad Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 25/05 | Valerenga Norway Eliteserien |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 20/05 | Bodo/Glimt Norway Eliteserien |
1-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Viking FK Norway Eliteserien |
3-1 | 3-6 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | Tromso Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 30/04 | Bodo/Glimt Norway Eliteserien |
0-2 | 0-5 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Ham-Kam Norway Eliteserien |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 19/04 | Molde Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 11/04 | Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
Rosenborg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 05/07 | Molde Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 29/05 | Bodo/Glimt Norway Eliteserien |
1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 25/05 | KFUM Norway Eliteserien |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Aalesund Norway Eliteserien |
1-1 | 2-3 | 11 | 8 | L |
| 10/05 | Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 01/05 | Viking FK Norway Eliteserien |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | SK Brann Norway Eliteserien |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 12/04 | Sarpsborg Norway Eliteserien |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in IK Start vs Rosenborg?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Rosenborg win (41%). Probabilities: IK Start 33%, draw 27%, Rosenborg 41%.
How many goals are expected in IK Start vs Rosenborg?
The model expects 2.93 goals (IK Start 1.37 · Rosenborg 1.55), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in IK Start vs Rosenborg?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.