Prediction: Tromso vs Valerenga
Expected goals: 2.65 (Tromso 1.63 · Valerenga 1.02). The model gives 51% home, 27% draw, 23% away. Under 2.75 goals (55%) and both teams to score (53%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Tromso sits at 4-4-2 (W-D-L), while Valerenga arrives on a 3-2-5 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for Tromso and 1 for Valerenga, with 3 draws.
| Tromso | Draw | Valerenga | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 27% | 22% |
| Market | 51% | 26% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Tromso: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tromso | Valerenga | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.3 | 1.4 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.3 | 2.8 / 7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0.1 | 3.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tromso 2–3–1 Valerenga
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/25 Norway Eliteserien | Valerenga | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Tromso |
| 31/05/25 Norway Eliteserien | Tromso | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Valerenga |
| 15/03/25 Europe Friendlies | Valerenga | 1-4 HT 0-1 | Tromso |
| 01/05/24 Norway Cup | Valerenga | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Tromso |
| 03/12/23 Norway Eliteserien | Valerenga | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Tromso |
| 09/07/23 Norway Eliteserien | Tromso | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Valerenga |
Standings · Norway Eliteserien
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viking FK | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 10 | 27 |
| 2 | Tromso | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 14 | 25 |
| 3 | Bodo/Glimt | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 23 |
| 4 | Lillestrom | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 11 | 19 |
| 5 | Molde | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 19 |
| 6 | Ham-Kam | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 17 |
| 7 | Sarpsborg | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 14 |
| 8 | Sandefjord | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 14 |
| 9 | Valerenga | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 17 | 14 |
| 10 | Fredrikstad | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 20 | 14 |
| 11 | SK Brann | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 20 | 13 |
| 12 | KFUM | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 12 |
| 13 | Aalesund | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 20 | 11 |
| 14 | Kristiansund BK | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 18 | 11 |
| 15 | Rosenborg | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 9 |
| 16 | IK Start | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 28 | 7 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tromso | Valerenga |
|---|---|---|
| KFUM | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Molde | 2-0 W | 1-5 L |
| IK Start | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Sarpsborg | 1-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Lillestrom | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Kristiansund BK | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Tromso (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tromso
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/05 | KFUM Norway Eliteserien |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 25/05 | Aalesund Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Bodo/Glimt Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 0-5 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Molde Norway Eliteserien |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | IK Start Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 29/04 | SK Brann Norway Eliteserien |
0-3 | 0-5 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien |
2-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 19/04 | Sarpsborg Norway Eliteserien |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 15/04 | Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 11/04 | Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
Valerenga
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Fredrikstad Europe Friendlies |
3-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 27/06 | GAIS Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/06 | IFK Goteborg Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 29/05 | Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 25/05 | IK Start Norway Eliteserien |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Sarpsborg Norway Eliteserien |
2-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 08/05 | Ham-Kam Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | KFUM Norway Eliteserien |
1-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 7 | D |
| 26/04 | Molde Norway Eliteserien |
1-1 | 1-5 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 19/04 | Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien |
0-0 | 0-2 | 13 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tromso vs Valerenga?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tromso win (51%). Probabilities: Tromso 51%, draw 27%, Valerenga 23%.
How many goals are expected in Tromso vs Valerenga?
The model expects 2.65 goals (Tromso 1.63 · Valerenga 1.02), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Tromso vs Valerenga?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.