Prediction: Aalesund vs Molde
Expected goals: 3.13 (Aalesund 1.31 · Molde 1.83). The model gives 27% home, 25% draw, 49% away. Under 3 goals (51%) and both teams to score (57%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Aalesund is 3-4-3 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Molde 6-1-3 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Aalesund won 1 and Molde 5.
| Aalesund | Draw | Molde | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 25% | 49% |
| Market | 27% | 25% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Molde: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Aalesund | Molde | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.5 | 2.1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 1.1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.4 | 2.6 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0 | 2.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aalesund 1–0–5 Molde
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/02/26 Club Friendly List | Molde | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Aalesund |
| 16/05/23 Norway Eliteserien | Aalesund | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Molde |
| 03/05/23 Norway Eliteserien | Molde | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Aalesund |
| 25/03/23 Europe Friendlies | Aalesund | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Molde |
| 18/09/22 Norway Eliteserien | Molde | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Aalesund |
| 16/05/22 Norway Eliteserien | Aalesund | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Molde |
Standings · Norway Eliteserien
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viking FK | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 10 | 27 |
| 2 | Tromso | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 14 | 25 |
| 3 | Bodo/Glimt | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 23 |
| 4 | Lillestrom | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 11 | 19 |
| 5 | Molde | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 19 |
| 6 | Ham-Kam | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 17 |
| 7 | Sarpsborg | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 14 |
| 8 | Sandefjord | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 14 |
| 9 | Valerenga | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 17 | 14 |
| 10 | Fredrikstad | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 20 | 14 |
| 11 | SK Brann | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 20 | 13 |
| 12 | KFUM | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 12 |
| 13 | Aalesund | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 20 | 11 |
| 14 | Kristiansund BK | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 18 | 11 |
| 15 | Rosenborg | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 9 |
| 16 | IK Start | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 28 | 7 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Aalesund | Molde |
|---|---|---|
| Kristiansund BK | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Ham-Kam | 2-2 D | 4-1 W |
| Tromso | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Sandefjord | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Bodo/Glimt | 0-3 L | 1-4 L |
| KFUM | 2-2 D | 5-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 2 L | 4 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Molde (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aalesund
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Kristiansund BK Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 29/05 | Ham-Kam Norway Eliteserien |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 25/05 | Tromso Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 20/05 | SK Brann Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Rosenborg Norway Eliteserien |
1-1 | 3-2 | 0 | 8 | W |
| 03/05 | Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 22/04 | SK Brann Norway Cup |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 18/04 | Bodo/Glimt Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 12/04 | KFUM Norway Eliteserien |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | D |
Molde
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Bodo/Glimt Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 21/06 | KFUM Europe Friendlies |
3-0 | 5-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 25/05 | Sarpsborg Norway Eliteserien |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Tromso Norway Eliteserien |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 04/05 | Bodo/Glimt Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 26/04 | Valerenga Norway Eliteserien |
1-1 | 5-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 19/04 | IK Start Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 12/04 | Ham-Kam Norway Eliteserien |
3-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aalesund vs Molde?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Molde win (49%). Probabilities: Aalesund 27%, draw 25%, Molde 49%.
How many goals are expected in Aalesund vs Molde?
The model expects 3.13 goals (Aalesund 1.31 · Molde 1.83), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Aalesund vs Molde?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.