Football · Poland I Liga · 11/10, 17:00

Prediction: Puszcza Niepolomice vs Polonia Bytom

Team pages: Puszcza Niepolomice · Polonia Bytom

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.05Total

Puszcza Niepolomice1.63

Polonia Bytom1.42

1X2

42% 26% 32%

Puszcza Niepolomice Draw Polonia Bytom

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Puszcza Niepolomice 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLWLLWLL

Polonia Bytom 1-6-3 (W-D-L)

LWLDLDDDDD

Head-to-head

Puszcza Niepolomice 4–2–0 Polonia Bytom (6 last)

Puszcza Niepolomice2-1Polonia Bytom
Polonia Bytom1-1Puszcza Niepolomice
Puszcza Niepolomice1-1Polonia Bytom
Puszcza Niepolomice2-0Polonia Bytom
Polonia Bytom1-2Puszcza Niepolomice
Puszcza Niepolomice3-0Polonia Bytom

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Puszcza Niepolomice: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Puszcza Niepolomice	Polonia Bytom
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.4	1.5 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1	0.6 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.1	2.5 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.2	3.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:02

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.52 → 2.52	Pinn 2.52
X	3.72 → 3.72	Pinn 3.72
2	2.50 → 2.50	Pinn 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
21:15 +227’	2.52	3.72	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Puszcza Niepolomice 4–2–0 Polonia Bytom

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Poland I Liga	Puszcza Niepolomice	2-1 HT 2-1	Polonia Bytom
04/10/25 Poland I Liga	Polonia Bytom	1-1 HT 1-1	Puszcza Niepolomice
06/07/24 Europe Friendlies	Puszcza Niepolomice	1-1 HT 0-1	Polonia Bytom
22/04/17 Poland II Liga	Puszcza Niepolomice	2-0 HT 1-0	Polonia Bytom
24/09/16 Poland II Liga	Polonia Bytom	1-2 HT 0-0	Puszcza Niepolomice
26/03/16 Poland II Liga	Puszcza Niepolomice	3-0 HT 3-0	Polonia Bytom

Standings · Poland I Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki	9	5	3	1	15	8	18
2	Termalica BB Nieciecza	9	5	1	3	14	12	16
3	Warta Poznan	9	5	0	4	17	13	15
4	LKS Lodz	9	4	3	2	13	9	15
5	Miedz Legnica	9	4	2	3	14	9	14
6	Polonia Warsaw	9	4	2	3	15	12	14
7	Stal Rzeszow	9	4	2	3	10	15	14
8	Lechia Gdansk	9	4	1	4	17	15	13
9	Chrobry Glogow	9	3	3	3	11	8	12
10	MKP Pogon Siedlce	8	3	3	2	9	7	12
11	Ruch Chorzow	9	3	3	3	9	11	12
12	Arka Gdynia	9	3	2	4	11	11	11
13	Unia Skierniewice	9	3	1	5	10	15	10
14	Odra Opole	9	2	3	4	7	9	9
15	Polonia Bytom	9	1	6	2	14	17	9
16	Stal Mielec	9	2	3	4	14	23	9
17	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala	9	0	8	1	12	14	8
18	Puszcza Niepolomice	8	2	0	6	8	12	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Puszcza Niepolomice	Polonia Bytom
Warta Poznan	2-3 L	4-3 W
LKS Lodz	1-2 L	1-2 L
Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala	2-0 W	0-0 D
Arka Gdynia	0-3 L	1-1 D
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki	0-1 L	2-2 D
Polonia Warsaw	0-1 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 5 L	1 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Polonia Bytom (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Puszcza Niepolomice

WLLLWLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Warta Poznan Poland I Liga	2-2	2-3	4	3	L
11/09	LKS Lodz Poland I Liga	1-1	1-2	6	4	L
29/08	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala Poland I Liga	1-0	2-0	2	4	W
23/08	Unia Skierniewice Poland I Liga	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
17/08	Arka Gdynia Poland I Liga	0-3	0-3	5	4	L
08/08	Odra Opole Poland I Liga	2-1	3-1	8	5	W
02/08	Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Poland I Liga	0-1	0-1	1	5	L
26/07	Polonia Warsaw Poland I Liga	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
24/05	Miedz Legnica Poland I Liga	1-1	1-2	3	4	L
18/05	LKS Lodz Poland I Liga	0-0	1-0	4	5	W

Polonia Bytom

LWLDLDDDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Ruch Chorzow Poland I Liga	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
11/09	Polonia Warsaw Poland I Liga	0-1	2-2	4	3	D
06/09	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala Poland I Liga	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
30/08	Arka Gdynia Poland I Liga	0-1	1-1	5	6	D
22/08	Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Poland I Liga	2-1	2-2	3	5	D
16/08	Stal Mielec Poland I Liga	1-2	2-5	5	3	L
07/08	MKP Pogon Siedlce Poland I Liga	0-1	2-2	9	4	D
31/07	LKS Lodz Poland I Liga	1-2	1-2	7	2	L
24/07	Warta Poznan Poland I Liga	2-1	4-3	7	2	W
24/05	Stal Mielec Poland I Liga	0-2	1-4	3	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Puszcza Niepolomice vs Polonia Bytom?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Puszcza Niepolomice win (42%). Probabilities: Puszcza Niepolomice 42%, draw 26%, Polonia Bytom 32%.

How many goals are expected in Puszcza Niepolomice vs Polonia Bytom?

The model expects 3.05 goals (Puszcza Niepolomice 1.63 · Polonia Bytom 1.42), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Puszcza Niepolomice vs Polonia Bytom?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.