Football · Poland I Liga · 18/10, 14:30

Prediction: LKS Lodz vs Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala

Team pages: LKS Lodz · Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala

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Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.63Total

LKS Lodz1.61

Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala1.02

1X2

51% 26% 23%

LKS Lodz Draw Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

LKS Lodz 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWLWWDDWLL

Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala 1-8-1 (W-D-L)

DDDDDLDDDW

Head-to-head

LKS Lodz 3–2–1 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala (6 last)

LKS Lodz2-1Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala
Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala1-1LKS Lodz
Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala1-1LKS Lodz
LKS Lodz1-2Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala
LKS Lodz3-0Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala
Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala0-3LKS Lodz

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · LKS Lodz 1495 · Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala 1500

	LKS Lodz	Draw	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala
Our model	50%	27%	23%
Market	51%	25%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 2.63 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours LKS Lodz: 3-2-1.
High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	LKS Lodz	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.1	1.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 6.3	2.3 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0	4.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.60

23.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.82

2 (+0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 19:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.75▼	Pinn 1.83
X	3.40 → 3.60▲	Pinn 3.86
2	3.75 → 3.75	Pinn 4.07 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.6% Pinnacle margin 5.2%

Time*	1	X	2
16:38 +8’	1.80	3.40	3.75
18:31 +7’	1.80	3.40	3.70▼
19:39 +15’	1.75▼	3.60▲	3.75▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:57 +208’	1.85	3.71	3.82
18:11 +27’	1.80▼	3.82▲	3.96▲
19:45 +9’	1.79▼	3.87▲	3.95▼
19:54 +127’	1.74▼	3.96▲	4.14▲
02:29 +4’	1.78▲	3.89▼	3.98▼
08:20 +24’	1.81▲	3.77▼	3.98
14:33 +117’	1.82▲	3.82▲	4.04▲
02:42 +26’	1.83▲	3.86▲	4.06▲
13:26 +10’	1.83	3.86	4.07▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · LKS Lodz 3–2–1 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/04/23 Poland I Liga	LKS Lodz	2-1 HT 0-0	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala
18/09/22 Poland I Liga	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala	1-1 HT 0-1	LKS Lodz
01/04/22 Poland I Liga	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala	1-1 HT 0-0	LKS Lodz
18/09/21 Poland I Liga	LKS Lodz	1-2 HT 1-1	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala
29/03/19 Poland I Liga	LKS Lodz	3-0 HT 2-0	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala
19/09/18 Poland I Liga	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala	0-3 HT 0-2	LKS Lodz

Standings · Poland I Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki	11	6	3	2	19	9	21
2	Polonia Warsaw	11	6	2	3	18	13	20
3	Warta Poznan	11	6	0	5	19	15	18
4	Ruch Chorzow	11	5	3	3	14	11	18
5	Miedz Legnica	11	5	2	4	17	10	17
6	Termalica BB Nieciecza	10	5	2	3	16	14	17
7	Lechia Gdansk	10	5	1	4	19	16	16
8	LKS Lodz	10	4	3	3	13	11	15
9	Polonia Bytom	11	3	6	2	18	19	15
10	Stal Rzeszow	10	4	2	4	11	17	14
11	MKP Pogon Siedlce	10	3	3	4	10	11	12
12	Chrobry Glogow	11	3	3	5	13	15	12
13	Odra Opole	11	3	3	5	8	12	12
14	Stal Mielec	11	3	3	5	16	27	12
15	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala	10	1	8	1	13	14	11
16	Arka Gdynia	10	3	2	5	12	13	11
17	Unia Skierniewice	11	3	2	6	12	18	11
18	Puszcza Niepolomice	10	3	0	7	11	14	9

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	LKS Lodz	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala
Ruch Chorzow	0-2 L	3-3 D
Puszcza Niepolomice	2-1 W	0-2 L
Odra Opole	0-0 D	1-1 D
Stal Mielec	4-0 W	3-3 D
Chrobry Glogow	1-2 L	1-1 D
Polonia Bytom	2-1 W	0-0 D
MKP Pogon Siedlce	1-1 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 5 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

LKS Lodz

DWLWWDDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Ruch Chorzow Poland I Liga	0-0	0-2	4	6	L
19/09	Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Poland I Liga	0-1	0-2	4	5	L
11/09	Puszcza Niepolomice Poland I Liga	1-1	2-1	9	4	W
06/09	Arka Gdynia Poland I Liga	0-0	1-1	8	2	D
28/08	Odra Opole Poland I Liga	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
23/08	Stal Mielec Poland I Liga	1-0	4-0	5	4	W
16/08	Termalica BB Nieciecza Poland I Liga	2-0	2-1	3	3	W
09/08	Chrobry Glogow Poland I Liga	1-1	1-2	10	6	L
31/07	Polonia Bytom Poland I Liga	2-1	2-1	7	2	W
25/07	MKP Pogon Siedlce Poland I Liga	0-1	1-1	10	0	D

Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala

DDDDDLDDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	MKP Pogon Siedlce Poland I Liga	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
20/09	Unia Skierniewice Poland I Liga	0-0	1-1	6	4	D
12/09	Ruch Chorzow Poland I Liga	1-1	3-3	4	5	D
06/09	Polonia Bytom Poland I Liga	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
29/08	Puszcza Niepolomice Poland I Liga	0-1	0-2	8	4	L
22/08	Odra Opole Poland I Liga	0-1	1-1	3	5	D
15/08	Chrobry Glogow Poland I Liga	0-1	1-1	6	5	D
08/08	Lechia Gdansk Poland I Liga	1-1	2-2	3	3	D
02/08	Stal Mielec Poland I Liga	0-3	3-3	6	5	D
27/07	Miedz Legnica Poland I Liga	1-0	1-1	8	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in LKS Lodz vs Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala?

According to our model, the most likely result is a LKS Lodz win (51%). Probabilities: LKS Lodz 51%, draw 26%, Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala 23%.

How many goals are expected in LKS Lodz vs Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala?

The model expects 2.63 goals (LKS Lodz 1.61 · Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala 1.02), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in LKS Lodz vs Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.