Football · Poland I Liga · 17/10, 15:30

Prediction: Polonia Bytom vs Chrobry Glogow

Team pages: Polonia Bytom · Chrobry Glogow

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.84Total

Polonia Bytom1.7

Chrobry Glogow1.14

1X2

49% 26% 24%

Polonia Bytom Draw Chrobry Glogow

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Polonia Bytom 1-6-3 (W-D-L)

LWLDLDDDDD

Chrobry Glogow 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WLWDLWDDLL

Head-to-head

Polonia Bytom 2–0 Chrobry Glogow (2 last)

Polonia Bytom2-0Chrobry Glogow
Chrobry Glogow0-1Polonia Bytom

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Polonia Bytom: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Polonia Bytom	Chrobry Glogow
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2.1	1.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.1	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.1	1.6 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.2	3.2 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.81

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:20

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.79 → 1.79	Pinn 1.79
X	3.75 → 3.75	Pinn 3.75
2	4.10 → 4.10	Pinn 4.10

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7%

Time*	1	X	2
18:16 +4’	1.79	3.75	4.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Polonia Bytom 2–0–0 Chrobry Glogow

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/12/25 Poland I Liga	Polonia Bytom	2-0 HT 2-0	Chrobry Glogow
26/07/25 Poland I Liga	Chrobry Glogow	0-1 HT 0-1	Polonia Bytom

Standings · Poland I Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki	10	6	3	1	19	8	21
2	Polonia Warsaw	10	5	2	3	17	13	17
3	Termalica BB Nieciecza	10	5	2	3	16	14	17
4	Warta Poznan	9	5	0	4	17	13	15
5	LKS Lodz	9	4	3	2	13	9	15
6	Miedz Legnica	9	4	2	3	14	9	14
7	Stal Rzeszow	9	4	2	3	10	15	14
8	Lechia Gdansk	9	4	1	4	17	15	13
9	MKP Pogon Siedlce	9	3	3	3	9	8	12
10	Chrobry Glogow	10	3	3	4	11	12	12
11	Ruch Chorzow	9	3	3	3	9	11	12
12	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala	10	1	8	1	13	14	11
13	Arka Gdynia	10	3	2	5	12	13	11
14	Unia Skierniewice	10	3	2	5	12	17	11
15	Odra Opole	9	2	3	4	7	9	9
16	Polonia Bytom	9	1	6	2	14	17	9
17	Stal Mielec	9	2	3	4	14	23	9
18	Puszcza Niepolomice	8	2	0	6	8	12	6

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Polonia Bytom	Chrobry Glogow
Ruch Chorzow	0-0 D	2-0 W
Polonia Warsaw	2-2 D	0-2 L
Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala	0-0 D	1-1 D
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2-2 D	0-4 L
MKP Pogon Siedlce	2-2 D	0-0 D
LKS Lodz	1-2 L	2-1 W
Warta Poznan	4-3 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 5 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Polonia Bytom (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Polonia Bytom

LWLDLDDDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Ruch Chorzow Poland I Liga	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
11/09	Polonia Warsaw Poland I Liga	0-1	2-2	4	3	D
06/09	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala Poland I Liga	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
30/08	Arka Gdynia Poland I Liga	0-1	1-1	5	6	D
22/08	Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Poland I Liga	2-1	2-2	3	5	D
16/08	Stal Mielec Poland I Liga	1-2	2-5	5	3	L
07/08	MKP Pogon Siedlce Poland I Liga	0-1	2-2	9	4	D
31/07	LKS Lodz Poland I Liga	1-2	1-2	7	2	L
24/07	Warta Poznan Poland I Liga	2-1	4-3	7	2	W
24/05	Stal Mielec Poland I Liga	0-2	1-4	3	2	L

Chrobry Glogow

WLWDLWDDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Poland I Liga	0-3	0-4	5	1	L
19/09	Polonia Warsaw Poland I Liga	0-0	0-2	3	4	L
12/09	MKP Pogon Siedlce Poland I Liga	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
05/09	Miedz Legnica Poland I Liga	0-0	1-1	2	4	D
30/08	Ruch Chorzow Poland I Liga	1-0	2-0	1	2	W
21/08	Warta Poznan Poland I Liga	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
15/08	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala Poland I Liga	1-0	1-1	7	5	D
09/08	LKS Lodz Poland I Liga	1-1	2-1	4	6	W
03/08	Odra Opole Poland I Liga	0-1	0-1	3	2	L
25/07	Stal Rzeszow Poland I Liga	1-0	5-1	1	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Polonia Bytom vs Chrobry Glogow?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Polonia Bytom win (49%). Probabilities: Polonia Bytom 49%, draw 26%, Chrobry Glogow 24%.

How many goals are expected in Polonia Bytom vs Chrobry Glogow?

The model expects 2.84 goals (Polonia Bytom 1.7 · Chrobry Glogow 1.14), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Polonia Bytom vs Chrobry Glogow?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.