Football · Poland I Liga · 17/10, 15:30
Prediction: Miedz Legnica vs Stal Mielec
Team pages: Miedz Legnica · Stal Mielec
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.23Total
Miedz Legnica1.95
Stal Mielec1.29
1X2
Miedz Legnica
Draw
Stal Mielec
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Miedz Legnica
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Stal Mielec
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Miedz Legnica
2–1–3
Stal Mielec
(6 last)
- Miedz Legnica1-0Stal Mielec
- Stal Mielec1-2Miedz Legnica
- Stal Mielec1-1Miedz Legnica
- Miedz Legnica0-2Stal Mielec
- Miedz Legnica1-2Stal Mielec
- Stal Mielec1-0Miedz Legnica
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Miedz Legnica (rating 1514 vs 1470).
- H2H favours Stal Mielec: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Miedz Legnica | Stal Mielec | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1 | 1.6 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.4 | 2 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.4 | 3.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Miedz Legnica 2–1–3 Stal Mielec
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Poland I Liga | Miedz Legnica | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Stal Mielec |
| 26/10/25 Poland I Liga | Stal Mielec | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Miedz Legnica |
| 17/04/23 Poland Ekstraklasa | Stal Mielec | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Miedz Legnica |
| 02/10/22 Poland Ekstraklasa | Miedz Legnica | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Stal Mielec |
| 02/06/20 Poland I Liga | Miedz Legnica | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Stal Mielec |
| 26/08/19 Poland I Liga | Stal Mielec | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Miedz Legnica |
Standings · Poland I Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 21 |
| 2 | Polonia Warsaw | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 17 |
| 3 | Termalica BB Nieciecza | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 17 |
| 4 | Warta Poznan | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 15 |
| 5 | LKS Lodz | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 15 |
| 6 | Miedz Legnica | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 9 | 14 |
| 7 | Stal Rzeszow | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 14 |
| 8 | Lechia Gdansk | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 13 |
| 9 | MKP Pogon Siedlce | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Chrobry Glogow | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 12 |
| 11 | Ruch Chorzow | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 12 |
| 12 | Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala | 10 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 13 | 14 | 11 |
| 13 | Arka Gdynia | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 11 |
| 14 | Unia Skierniewice | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 11 |
| 15 | Odra Opole | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 9 |
| 16 | Polonia Bytom | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 17 | 9 |
| 17 | Stal Mielec | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 23 | 9 |
| 18 | Puszcza Niepolomice | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 6 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Miedz Legnica | Stal Mielec |
|---|---|---|
| Stal Rzeszow | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Lechia Gdansk | 1-2 L | 1-7 L |
| Warta Poznan | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Unia Skierniewice | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala | 1-1 D | 3-3 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Miedz Legnica (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Miedz Legnica
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Stal Rzeszow Poland I Liga |
1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | Lechia Gdansk Poland I Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 05/09 | Chrobry Glogow Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 30/08 | Warta Poznan Poland I Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 23/08 | Arka Gdynia Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 16/08 | Unia Skierniewice Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Poland I Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 02/08 | Ruch Chorzow Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 27/07 | Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala Poland I Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 24/05 | Puszcza Niepolomice Poland I Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
Stal Mielec
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Warta Poznan Poland I Liga |
2-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 19/09 | Lechia Gdansk Poland I Liga |
1-2 | 1-7 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 14/09 | Termalica BB Nieciecza Poland I Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 05/09 | Odra Opole Poland I Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | MKP Pogon Siedlce Poland I Liga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 23/08 | LKS Lodz Poland I Liga |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | Polonia Bytom Poland I Liga |
2-1 | 5-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Stal Rzeszow Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 02/08 | Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala Poland I Liga |
3-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 26/07 | Unia Skierniewice Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Miedz Legnica vs Stal Mielec?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Miedz Legnica win (52%). Probabilities: Miedz Legnica 52%, draw 24%, Stal Mielec 24%.
How many goals are expected in Miedz Legnica vs Stal Mielec?
The model expects 3.23 goals (Miedz Legnica 1.95 · Stal Mielec 1.29), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Miedz Legnica vs Stal Mielec?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.