Football · Poland I Liga · 24/10, 15:30

Prediction: Unia Skierniewice vs Polonia Bytom

Team pages: Unia Skierniewice · Polonia Bytom

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.99Total

Unia Skierniewice1.51

Polonia Bytom1.48

1X2

37% 27% 36%

Unia Skierniewice Draw Polonia Bytom

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Unia Skierniewice 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWLWLLWDDL

Polonia Bytom 2-6-2 (W-D-L)

LDLDDDDDWW

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Polonia Bytom (rating 1466 vs 1517).
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Unia Skierniewice	Polonia Bytom
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.6	1.4 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.9	2.8 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.3	3.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.99

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:26

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.58 → 2.58	Pinn 2.58
X	3.74 → 3.74	Pinn 3.74
2	2.43 → 2.43	Pinn 2.43

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
21:25 +181’	2.58	3.74	2.43

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Poland I Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki	11	6	3	2	19	9	21
2	Polonia Warsaw	11	6	2	3	18	13	20
3	Warta Poznan	11	6	0	5	19	15	18
4	LKS Lodz	11	5	3	3	14	11	18
4	Ruch Chorzow	11	5	3	3	14	11	18
6	Miedz Legnica	11	5	2	4	17	10	17
7	Termalica BB Nieciecza	10	5	2	3	16	14	17
8	Stal Rzeszow	11	5	2	4	15	20	17
9	Lechia Gdansk	10	5	1	4	19	16	16
10	Polonia Bytom	11	3	6	2	18	19	15
11	Chrobry Glogow	11	3	3	5	13	15	12
11	MKP Pogon Siedlce	11	3	3	5	13	15	12
13	Odra Opole	11	3	3	5	8	12	12
14	Stal Mielec	11	3	3	5	16	27	12
15	Arka Gdynia	10	3	2	5	12	13	11
16	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala	11	1	8	2	13	15	11
17	Unia Skierniewice	11	3	2	6	12	18	11
18	Puszcza Niepolomice	10	3	0	7	11	14	9

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Unia Skierniewice	Polonia Bytom
Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala	1-1 D	0-0 D
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki	3-2 W	2-2 D
Ruch Chorzow	1-3 L	0-0 D
Puszcza Niepolomice	1-0 W	1-0 W
Arka Gdynia	2-0 W	1-1 D
Polonia Warsaw	1-3 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 5 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Unia Skierniewice

LWLWLLWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	Warta Poznan Poland I Liga	0-1	0-1	12	3	L
10/10	Termalica BB Nieciecza Poland I Liga	1-2	2-2	6	4	D
20/09	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala Poland I Liga	0-0	1-1	1	4	D
13/09	Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Poland I Liga	0-1	3-2	8	6	W
07/09	Ruch Chorzow Poland I Liga	0-1	1-3	3	0	L
28/08	Stal Rzeszow Poland I Liga	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
23/08	Puszcza Niepolomice Poland I Liga	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
16/08	Miedz Legnica Poland I Liga	0-1	0-3	6	3	L
10/08	Arka Gdynia Poland I Liga	2-0	2-0	7	8	W
01/08	Polonia Warsaw Poland I Liga	1-0	1-3	9	5	L

Polonia Bytom

LDLDDDDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Chrobry Glogow Poland I Liga	3-0	3-2	5	2	W
11/10	Puszcza Niepolomice Poland I Liga	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
18/09	Ruch Chorzow Poland I Liga	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
11/09	Polonia Warsaw Poland I Liga	0-1	2-2	4	3	D
06/09	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala Poland I Liga	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
30/08	Arka Gdynia Poland I Liga	0-1	1-1	5	6	D
22/08	Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Poland I Liga	2-1	2-2	3	5	D
16/08	Stal Mielec Poland I Liga	1-2	2-5	5	3	L
07/08	MKP Pogon Siedlce Poland I Liga	0-1	2-2	9	4	D
31/07	LKS Lodz Poland I Liga	1-2	1-2	7	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Unia Skierniewice vs Polonia Bytom?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Unia Skierniewice win (37%). Probabilities: Unia Skierniewice 37%, draw 27%, Polonia Bytom 36%.

How many goals are expected in Unia Skierniewice vs Polonia Bytom?

The model expects 2.99 goals (Unia Skierniewice 1.51 · Polonia Bytom 1.48), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Unia Skierniewice vs Polonia Bytom?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.