Football · Poland I Liga · 24/10, 17:45

Prediction: Puszcza Niepolomice vs Lechia Gdansk

Team pages: Puszcza Niepolomice · Lechia Gdansk

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.99Total

Puszcza Niepolomice1.31

Lechia Gdansk1.69

1X2

29% 26% 45%

Puszcza Niepolomice Draw Lechia Gdansk

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Puszcza Niepolomice 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLWLLWLLLW

Lechia Gdansk 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LDLWWLWWWW

Head-to-head

Puszcza Niepolomice 3–2–1 Lechia Gdansk (6 last)

Puszcza Niepolomice1-1Lechia Gdansk
Lechia Gdansk0-2Puszcza Niepolomice
Puszcza Niepolomice4-1Lechia Gdansk
Puszcza Niepolomice3-1Lechia Gdansk
Puszcza Niepolomice1-1Lechia Gdansk
Puszcza Niepolomice1-5Lechia Gdansk

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lechia Gdansk (rating 1463 vs 1575).
H2H favours Puszcza Niepolomice: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Puszcza Niepolomice	Lechia Gdansk
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.4	2.1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.9	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.2	2.8 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.1	3.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.81

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:18

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Pinn 2.70
X	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.50
2	2.38 → 2.38	Pinn 2.38

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.6%

Time*	1	X	2
18:12 +6’	2.70	3.50	2.38

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Puszcza Niepolomice 3–2–1 Lechia Gdansk

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
29/10/25 Poland Cup	Puszcza Niepolomice	1-1 HT 0-0	Lechia Gdansk
23/02/25 Poland Ekstraklasa	Lechia Gdansk	0-2 HT 0-1	Puszcza Niepolomice
16/08/24 Poland Ekstraklasa	Puszcza Niepolomice	4-1 HT 2-0	Lechia Gdansk
09/02/21 Poland Cup	Puszcza Niepolomice	3-1 HT 1-1	Lechia Gdansk
21/09/16 Poland Cup	Puszcza Niepolomice	1-1 HT 0-0	Lechia Gdansk
12/08/15 Poland Cup	Puszcza Niepolomice	1-5 HT 1-3	Lechia Gdansk

Standings · Poland I Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki	11	6	3	2	19	9	21
2	Polonia Warsaw	11	6	2	3	18	13	20
3	Lechia Gdansk	11	6	1	4	21	17	19
4	Warta Poznan	11	6	0	5	19	15	18
5	LKS Lodz	11	5	3	3	14	11	18
5	Ruch Chorzow	11	5	3	3	14	11	18
7	Miedz Legnica	11	5	2	4	17	10	17
8	Termalica BB Nieciecza	10	5	2	3	16	14	17
9	Stal Rzeszow	11	5	2	4	15	20	17
10	Polonia Bytom	11	3	6	2	18	19	15
11	Chrobry Glogow	11	3	3	5	13	15	12
11	MKP Pogon Siedlce	11	3	3	5	13	15	12
13	Odra Opole	11	3	3	5	8	12	12
14	Stal Mielec	11	3	3	5	16	27	12
15	Arka Gdynia	11	3	2	6	13	15	11
15	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala	11	1	8	2	13	15	11
17	Unia Skierniewice	11	3	2	6	12	18	11
18	Puszcza Niepolomice	10	3	0	7	11	14	9

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Puszcza Niepolomice	Lechia Gdansk
MKP Pogon Siedlce	3-1 W	1-0 W
Warta Poznan	2-3 L	0-3 L
Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala	2-0 W	2-2 D
Arka Gdynia	0-3 L	2-1 W
Polonia Warsaw	0-1 L	4-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Puszcza Niepolomice (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Puszcza Niepolomice

LLWLLWLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/10	MKP Pogon Siedlce Poland I Liga	0-0	3-1	5	7	W
11/10	Polonia Bytom Poland I Liga	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
18/09	Warta Poznan Poland I Liga	2-2	2-3	4	3	L
11/09	LKS Lodz Poland I Liga	1-1	1-2	6	4	L
29/08	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala Poland I Liga	1-0	2-0	2	4	W
23/08	Unia Skierniewice Poland I Liga	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
17/08	Arka Gdynia Poland I Liga	0-3	0-3	5	4	L
08/08	Odra Opole Poland I Liga	2-1	3-1	8	5	W
02/08	Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Poland I Liga	0-1	0-1	1	5	L
26/07	Polonia Warsaw Poland I Liga	0-0	0-1	3	4	L

Lechia Gdansk

LDLWWLWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Arka Gdynia Poland I Liga	1-0	2-1	5	3	W
12/10	Stal Rzeszow Poland I Liga	2-0	2-1	5	5	W
19/09	Stal Mielec Poland I Liga	2-1	7-1	5	5	W
13/09	Miedz Legnica Poland I Liga	1-0	2-1	5	6	W
04/09	Termalica BB Nieciecza Poland I Liga	0-0	1-2	4	3	L
29/08	Polonia Warsaw Poland I Liga	1-1	4-2	3	2	W
21/08	MKP Pogon Siedlce Poland I Liga	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
14/08	Ruch Chorzow Poland I Liga	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
08/08	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala Poland I Liga	1-1	2-2	2	3	D
31/07	Warta Poznan Poland I Liga	0-3	0-3	9	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Puszcza Niepolomice vs Lechia Gdansk?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Lechia Gdansk win (45%). Probabilities: Puszcza Niepolomice 29%, draw 26%, Lechia Gdansk 45%.

How many goals are expected in Puszcza Niepolomice vs Lechia Gdansk?

The model expects 2.99 goals (Puszcza Niepolomice 1.31 · Lechia Gdansk 1.69), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Puszcza Niepolomice vs Lechia Gdansk?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.