Football · Poland I Liga · 25/10, 17:00

Prediction: Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala vs Stal Rzeszow

Team pages: Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala · Stal Rzeszow

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.86Total

Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala1.69

Stal Rzeszow1.17

1X2

49% 26% 25%

Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala Draw Stal Rzeszow

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala 1-7-2 (W-D-L)

DDDDLDDDWL

Stal Rzeszow 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LDDLWWWWLW

Head-to-head

Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala 1–2–3 Stal Rzeszow (6 last)

Stal Rzeszow3-0Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala
Stal Rzeszow2-2Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala
Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala0-1Stal Rzeszow
Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala2-2Stal Rzeszow
Stal Rzeszow5-0Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala
Stal Rzeszow0-1Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala 1477 · Stal Rzeszow 1546

	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala	Draw	Stal Rzeszow
Our model	48%	26%	25%
Market	49%	26%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.86 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stal Rzeszow (rating 1477 vs 1546).
H2H favours Stal Rzeszow: 3-2-1.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala	Stal Rzeszow
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.4	1.4 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.8	0.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.9	3.3 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.2	4.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.50

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 19:36

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.83▼	Pinn 1.89
X	3.40 → 3.50▲	Pinn 3.77 ★
2	3.20 → 3.50▲	Pinn 3.64

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 6.9%

Time*	1	X	2
15:24 +2’	1.95	3.40	3.20
19:24 +12’	1.83▼	3.50▲	3.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:15 +307’	1.92	3.73	3.57
01:40 +39’	1.89▼	3.77▲	3.64▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala 1–2–3 Stal Rzeszow

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/09/26 Poland Cup	Stal Rzeszow	3-0 HT 0-0	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala
19/04/24 Poland I Liga	Stal Rzeszow	2-2 HT 2-0	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala
07/10/23 Poland I Liga	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala	0-1 HT 0-0	Stal Rzeszow
02/04/23 Poland I Liga	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala	2-2 HT 0-1	Stal Rzeszow
27/08/22 Poland I Liga	Stal Rzeszow	5-0 HT 3-0	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala
15/08/20 Poland Cup	Stal Rzeszow	0-1 HT 0-1	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala

Standings · Poland I Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki	11	6	3	2	19	9	21
2	Polonia Warsaw	11	6	2	3	18	13	20
3	Termalica BB Nieciecza	11	6	2	3	18	14	20
4	Lechia Gdansk	11	6	1	4	21	17	19
5	Warta Poznan	11	6	0	5	19	15	18
6	LKS Lodz	11	5	3	3	14	11	18
6	Ruch Chorzow	11	5	3	3	14	11	18
8	Miedz Legnica	11	5	2	4	17	10	17
9	Stal Rzeszow	11	5	2	4	15	20	17
10	Polonia Bytom	11	3	6	2	18	19	15
11	Chrobry Glogow	11	3	3	5	13	15	12
11	MKP Pogon Siedlce	11	3	3	5	13	15	12
13	Odra Opole	11	3	3	5	8	12	12
14	Stal Mielec	11	3	3	5	16	27	12
15	Arka Gdynia	11	3	2	6	13	15	11
15	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala	11	1	8	2	13	15	11
17	Unia Skierniewice	11	3	2	6	12	18	11
18	Puszcza Niepolomice	11	3	0	8	11	16	9

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala	Stal Rzeszow
MKP Pogon Siedlce	1-0 W	4-3 W
Unia Skierniewice	1-1 D	1-0 W
Ruch Chorzow	3-3 D	0-1 L
Odra Opole	1-1 D	1-0 W
Lechia Gdansk	2-2 D	1-2 L
Stal Mielec	3-3 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 5 D 0 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala

DDDDLDDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	LKS Lodz Poland I Liga	0-0	0-1	3	6	L
09/10	MKP Pogon Siedlce Poland I Liga	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
20/09	Unia Skierniewice Poland I Liga	0-0	1-1	6	4	D
12/09	Ruch Chorzow Poland I Liga	1-1	3-3	4	5	D
06/09	Polonia Bytom Poland I Liga	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
29/08	Puszcza Niepolomice Poland I Liga	0-1	0-2	8	4	L
22/08	Odra Opole Poland I Liga	0-1	1-1	3	5	D
15/08	Chrobry Glogow Poland I Liga	0-1	1-1	6	5	D
08/08	Lechia Gdansk Poland I Liga	1-1	2-2	3	3	D
02/08	Stal Mielec Poland I Liga	0-3	3-3	6	5	D

Stal Rzeszow

LDDLWWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	MKP Pogon Siedlce Poland I Liga	3-0	4-3	5	2	W
12/10	Lechia Gdansk Poland I Liga	0-2	1-2	8	5	L
19/09	Miedz Legnica Poland I Liga	3-1	3-2	4	2	W
13/09	Odra Opole Poland I Liga	1-0	1-0	3	8	W
05/09	Polonia Warsaw Poland I Liga	2-0	2-1	7	6	W
28/08	Unia Skierniewice Poland I Liga	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
24/08	Ruch Chorzow Poland I Liga	0-1	0-1	4	9	L
14/08	Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Poland I Liga	0-0	1-1	7	4	D
08/08	Stal Mielec Poland I Liga	0-0	1-1	8	6	D
01/08	Arka Gdynia Poland I Liga	0-1	0-4	10	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala vs Stal Rzeszow?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala win (49%). Probabilities: Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala 49%, draw 26%, Stal Rzeszow 25%.

How many goals are expected in Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala vs Stal Rzeszow?

The model expects 2.86 goals (Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala 1.69 · Stal Rzeszow 1.17), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala vs Stal Rzeszow?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.