Football · England Premier League · 30/08, 15:00

Prediction: Sunderland vs Fulham

Team pages: Sunderland

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.25Total
Sunderland1.07
Fulham1.18
1X2
33% 29% 38%
Sunderland Draw Fulham
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Sunderland 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
LWWLLDDWWL
Fulham 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LDWLDWLLDW
Head-to-head
Sunderland 1–1–4 Fulham (6 last)
  • Sunderland1-3Fulham
  • Fulham1-0Sunderland
  • Sunderland2-3Fulham
  • Fulham1-1Sunderland
  • Fulham2-1Sunderland
  • Sunderland1-0Fulham
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sunderland 1518 · Fulham 1507
SunderlandDrawFulham
Our model32%31%37%
Market33%28%39%
Estimated total (ours) 2.25 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Fulham: 4-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

SunderlandFulham
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.60.7 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.90.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 4.42.2 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.8 / 0.23.1 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sunderland 114 Fulham

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/02/26
England Premier League
Sunderland1-3
HT 0-0
Fulham
22/11/25
England Premier League
Fulham1-0
HT 0-0
Sunderland
08/02/23
England FA Cup
Sunderland2-3
HT 0-1
Fulham
28/01/23
England FA Cup
Fulham1-1
HT 0-1
Sunderland
27/04/18
England Championship
Fulham2-1
HT 1-1
Sunderland
16/12/17
England Championship
Sunderland1-0
HT 0-0
Fulham

Standings · England Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Brighton 1100 403
2 Arsenal 1100 303
2 Brentford 1100 303
4 Everton 1100 203
4 Hull 1100 203
6 Ipswich 1100 213
6 Man City 1100 213
8 Leeds 1100 103
9 Liverpool 1010 221
9 Newcastle 1010 221
11 Chelsea 0000 000
11 Fulham 0000 000
13 Bournemouth 1001 120
13 Sunderland 1001 120
15 Nottm Forest 1001 010
16 Crystal Palace 1001 020
16 Man Utd 1001 020
18 Coventry 1001 030
18 Tottenham 1001 030
20 Aston Villa 1001 040

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSunderlandFulham
Wolverhampton 1-1 D 1-1 D
Nottm Forest 0-5 L 0-0 D
Aston Villa 3-4 L 1-0 W
Newcastle 2-1 W 2-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 2 L 2 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Fulham (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sunderland

LWWLLDDWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/08 Ipswich
England Premier League
1-1 1-2 53 L
24/05 Chelsea
England Premier League
1-0 2-1 69 W
17/05 Everton
England Premier League
0-1 3-1 23 W
09/05 Man Utd
England Premier League
0-0 0-0 63 D
02/05 Wolverhampton
England Premier League
1-0 1-1 35 D
24/04 Nottm Forest
England Premier League
0-4 0-5 37 L
19/04 Aston Villa
England Premier League
1-2 3-4 54 L
12/04 Tottenham
England Premier League
0-0 1-0 26 W
22/03 Newcastle
England Premier League
0-1 2-1 57 W
14/03 Brighton
England Premier League
0-0 0-1 73 L

Fulham

LDWLDWLLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/05 Newcastle
England Premier League
1-0 2-0 64 W
17/05 Wolverhampton
England Premier League
1-1 1-1 61 D
09/05 Bournemouth
England Premier League
0-0 0-1 117 L
02/05 Arsenal
England Premier League
0-3 0-3 41 L
25/04 Aston Villa
England Premier League
1-0 1-0 24 W
18/04 Brentford
England Premier League
0-0 0-0 31 D
11/04 Liverpool
England Premier League
0-2 0-2 90 L
21/03 Burnley
England Premier League
0-0 3-1 65 W
15/03 Nottm Forest
England Premier League
0-0 0-0 45 D
04/03 West Ham
England Premier League
0-0 0-1 66 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sunderland vs Fulham?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Fulham win (38%). Probabilities: Sunderland 33%, draw 29%, Fulham 38%.

How many goals are expected in Sunderland vs Fulham?

The model expects 2.25 goals (Sunderland 1.07 · Fulham 1.18), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Sunderland vs Fulham?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.