Prediction: Tottenham vs Newcastle
Team pages: Tottenham
- Tottenham1-2Newcastle
- Newcastle2-2Tottenham
- Newcastle2-0Tottenham
- Tottenham1-1Newcastle
- Tottenham1-2Newcastle
- Newcastle2-1Tottenham
| Tottenham | Draw | Newcastle | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 29% | 30% |
| Market | 42% | 27% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tottenham (rating 1524 vs 1467).
- H2H favours Newcastle: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tottenham | Newcastle | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.4 | 1.3 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 6.8 | 2 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0 | 4.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tottenham 0–2–4 Newcastle
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/02/26 England Premier League | Tottenham | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Newcastle |
| 02/12/25 England Premier League | Newcastle | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Tottenham |
| 29/10/25 England EFL Cup | Newcastle | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Tottenham |
| 03/08/25 Elite Club Friendlies | Tottenham | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Newcastle |
| 04/01/25 England Premier League | Tottenham | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Newcastle |
| 01/09/24 England Premier League | Newcastle | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Tottenham |
Standings · England Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Brentford | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Everton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Hull | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Ipswich | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Leeds | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Brighton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Chelsea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Fulham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Liverpool | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Man City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Newcastle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Sunderland | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Nottm Forest | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Crystal Palace | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Man Utd | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 | Coventry | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 | Tottenham | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tottenham | Newcastle |
|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Brighton | 2-2 D | 3-1 W |
| Sunderland | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Nottm Forest | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Newcastle (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tottenham
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Brentford England Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | Everton England Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 19/05 | Chelsea England Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 11/05 | Leeds England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 14 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Aston Villa England Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 25/04 | Wolverhampton England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 18/04 | Brighton England Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 12/04 | Sunderland England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 22/03 | Nottm Forest England Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 13 | 3 | L |
| 15/03 | Liverpool England Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
Newcastle
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05 | Fulham England Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | West Ham England Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Nottm Forest England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 02/05 | Brighton England Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 25/04 | Arsenal England Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | Bournemouth England Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 12/04 | Crystal Palace England Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 22/03 | Sunderland England Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 14/03 | Chelsea England Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 04/03 | Man Utd England Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tottenham vs Newcastle?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tottenham win (42%). Probabilities: Tottenham 42%, draw 27%, Newcastle 31%.
How many goals are expected in Tottenham vs Newcastle?
The model expects 2.62 goals (Tottenham 1.43 · Newcastle 1.19), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Tottenham vs Newcastle?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.