Prediction: Sunderland vs Arsenal
Team pages: Sunderland · Arsenal
- Arsenal3-0Sunderland
- Sunderland2-2Arsenal
- Arsenal5-1Sunderland
- Arsenal2-0Sunderland
- Sunderland1-4Arsenal
- Sunderland0-0Arsenal
| Sunderland | Draw | Arsenal | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 14% | 24% | 62% |
| Market | 14% | 23% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arsenal (rating 1537 vs 1586).
- H2H favours Arsenal: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sunderland | Arsenal | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.5 | 1.6 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 1 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 3.8 | 3 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.2 | 3.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sunderland 0–2–4 Arsenal
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/26 England Premier League | Arsenal | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Sunderland |
| 08/11/25 England Premier League | Sunderland | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Arsenal |
| 21/12/21 England EFL Cup | Arsenal | 5-1 HT 2-1 | Sunderland |
| 16/05/17 England Premier League | Arsenal | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Sunderland |
| 29/10/16 England Premier League | Sunderland | 1-4 HT 0-1 | Arsenal |
| 24/04/16 England Premier League | Sunderland | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Arsenal |
Standings · England Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Hull | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 | Arsenal | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | Brentford | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 5 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 5 |
| 6 | Newcastle | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 5 |
| 8 | Everton | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
| 9 | Leeds | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 10 | Brighton | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 4 |
| 11 | Man Utd | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 4 |
| 12 | Sunderland | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
| 13 | Ipswich | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| 16 | Nottm Forest | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 17 | Aston Villa | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
| 19 | Fulham | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 | Coventry | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sunderland | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| Fulham | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Everton | 3-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Aston Villa | 3-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 3 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Arsenal (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sunderland
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Brentford England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 30/08 | Fulham England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 22/08 | Ipswich England Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Chelsea England Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 17/05 | Everton England Premier League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Man Utd England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 02/05 | Wolverhampton England Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 24/04 | Nottm Forest England Premier League |
0-4 | 0-5 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 19/04 | Aston Villa England Premier League |
1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 12/04 | Tottenham England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
Arsenal
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Aston Villa England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 21/08 | Coventry England Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | Crystal Palace England Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 18/05 | Burnley England Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | West Ham England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 02/05 | Fulham England Premier League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | Newcastle England Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | Man City England Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 11/04 | Bournemouth England Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 14/03 | Everton England Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sunderland vs Arsenal?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Arsenal win (62%). Probabilities: Sunderland 14%, draw 24%, Arsenal 62%.
How many goals are expected in Sunderland vs Arsenal?
The model expects 2.57 goals (Sunderland 0.75 · Arsenal 1.82), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Sunderland vs Arsenal?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.