Football · England Premier League · 12/09, 16:00
Prediction: Liverpool vs Fulham
Team pages: Liverpool · Fulham
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3Total
Liverpool2.08
Fulham0.92
1X2
Liverpool
Draw
Fulham
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Liverpool
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Fulham
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Liverpool
2–3–1
Fulham
(6 last)
- Liverpool2-0Fulham
- Fulham2-2Liverpool
- Fulham3-2Liverpool
- Liverpool2-2Fulham
- Fulham1-3Liverpool
- Fulham1-1Liverpool
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Liverpool 1533 · Fulham 1462
| Liverpool | Draw | Fulham | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 22% | 15% |
| Market | 64% | 20% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
3 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Liverpool (rating 1533 vs 1462).
- H2H favours Liverpool: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Liverpool | Fulham | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.5 | 0.8 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.9 | 2.3 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0 | 2.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Liverpool 2–3–1 Fulham
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 England Premier League | Liverpool | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Fulham |
| 04/01/26 England Premier League | Fulham | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Liverpool |
| 06/04/25 England Premier League | Fulham | 3-2 HT 3-1 | Liverpool |
| 14/12/24 England Premier League | Liverpool | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Fulham |
| 21/04/24 England Premier League | Fulham | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Liverpool |
| 24/01/24 England EFL Cup | Fulham | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Liverpool |
Standings · England Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Hull | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 | Arsenal | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | Brentford | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 5 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 5 |
| 6 | Newcastle | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 5 |
| 8 | Everton | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
| 9 | Leeds | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 10 | Brighton | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 4 |
| 11 | Man Utd | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 4 |
| 12 | Sunderland | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
| 13 | Ipswich | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| 16 | Nottm Forest | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 17 | Aston Villa | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
| 19 | Fulham | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 | Coventry | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Liverpool | Fulham |
|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| Brentford | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Aston Villa | 2-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Chelsea | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| Crystal Palace | 3-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Liverpool
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Ipswich England Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Nottm Forest England Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 23/08 | Newcastle England Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 24/05 | Brentford England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 14 | 4 | D |
| 15/05 | Aston Villa England Premier League |
0-1 | 2-4 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Chelsea England Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 03/05 | Man Utd England Premier League |
0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Crystal Palace England Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | Everton England Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 11/04 | Fulham England Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
Fulham
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Crystal Palace England Premier League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 30/08 | Sunderland England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 24/08 | Chelsea England Premier League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | Newcastle England Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Wolverhampton England Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 09/05 | Bournemouth England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 7 | L |
| 02/05 | Arsenal England Premier League |
0-3 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Aston Villa England Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Brentford England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 11/04 | Liverpool England Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Liverpool vs Fulham?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Liverpool win (64%). Probabilities: Liverpool 64%, draw 21%, Fulham 16%.
How many goals are expected in Liverpool vs Fulham?
The model expects 3 goals (Liverpool 2.08 · Fulham 0.92), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Liverpool vs Fulham?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.