Football · England Premier League · 12/09, 18:30
Prediction: Tottenham vs Everton
Team pages: Tottenham · Everton
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.49Total
Tottenham1.49
Everton1.01
1X2
Tottenham
Draw
Everton
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Tottenham
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Everton
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tottenham
4–1–1
Everton
(6 last)
- Tottenham1-0Everton
- Everton0-3Tottenham
- Everton3-2Tottenham
- Tottenham4-0Everton
- Everton2-2Tottenham
- Tottenham2-1Everton
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tottenham 1545 · Everton 1510
| Tottenham | Draw | Everton | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 29% | 24% |
| Market | 48% | 27% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.49 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Tottenham: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tottenham | Everton | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.2 | 1.5 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.7 / 7 | 2.1 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0 | 3.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tottenham 4–1–1 Everton
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/26 England Premier League | Tottenham | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Everton |
| 26/10/25 England Premier League | Everton | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Tottenham |
| 19/01/25 England Premier League | Everton | 3-2 HT 3-0 | Tottenham |
| 24/08/24 England Premier League | Tottenham | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Everton |
| 03/02/24 England Premier League | Everton | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Tottenham |
| 23/12/23 England Premier League | Tottenham | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Everton |
Standings · England Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Hull | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 | Arsenal | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | Brentford | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 5 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 5 |
| 6 | Newcastle | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 5 |
| 8 | Everton | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
| 9 | Leeds | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 10 | Brighton | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 4 |
| 11 | Man Utd | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 4 |
| 12 | Sunderland | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
| 13 | Ipswich | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| 16 | Nottm Forest | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 17 | Aston Villa | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
| 19 | Fulham | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 | Coventry | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tottenham | Everton |
|---|---|---|
| Brentford | 0-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Sunderland | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tottenham
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Nottm Forest England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | Newcastle England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Brentford England Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | Everton England Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 19/05 | Chelsea England Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 11/05 | Leeds England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 14 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Aston Villa England Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 25/04 | Wolverhampton England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 18/04 | Brighton England Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 12/04 | Sunderland England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
Everton
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Man Utd England Premier League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 29/08 | Bournemouth England Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 22/08 | Crystal Palace England Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Tottenham England Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | Sunderland England Premier League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Crystal Palace England Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 04/05 | Man City England Premier League |
0-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 25/04 | West Ham England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 19/04 | Liverpool England Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | Brentford England Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tottenham vs Everton?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tottenham win (47%). Probabilities: Tottenham 47%, draw 28%, Everton 25%.
How many goals are expected in Tottenham vs Everton?
The model expects 2.49 goals (Tottenham 1.49 · Everton 1.01), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Tottenham vs Everton?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.