Football · England Premier League · 17/10, 18:30

Result and prediction: Newcastle vs Aston Villa

Final result

Half time: 0-1

What we said before the match Our favourite did not win · Newcastle 40%

40% 26% 35%

NewcastleDrawAston Villa

Our model (Elo) vs Market

	Newcastle	Draw	Aston Villa
Our model	40%	25%	35%
Market	39%	26%	34%

Estimated total (goals) 3.31 · actual 1

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This is how the model reads today's matches, before they are played.