Prediction: Chelsea vs Tottenham
Team pages: Chelsea · Tottenham
- Chelsea1-2Tottenham
- Chelsea2-1Tottenham
- Tottenham0-1Chelsea
- Chelsea1-0Tottenham
- Tottenham3-4Chelsea
- Chelsea2-0Tottenham
| Chelsea | Draw | Tottenham | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 23% | 21% |
| Market | 56% | 23% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chelsea (rating 1576 vs 1494).
- H2H favours Chelsea: 5-0-1.
- High corners: 12 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chelsea | Tottenham | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.7 | 0.8 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.8 | 3.6 / 7.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0.1 | 4.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chelsea 5–0–1 Tottenham
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/26 Club Friendly List | Chelsea | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Tottenham |
| 19/05/26 England Premier League | Chelsea | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Tottenham |
| 01/11/25 England Premier League | Tottenham | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Chelsea |
| 03/04/25 England Premier League | Chelsea | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Tottenham |
| 08/12/24 England Premier League | Tottenham | 3-4 HT 2-1 | Chelsea |
| 02/05/24 England Premier League | Chelsea | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Tottenham |
Standings · England Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 18 |
| 3 | Brighton | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 5 | 16 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 13 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 12 |
| 6 | Brentford | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 10 |
| 7 | Leeds | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 10 |
| 8 | Everton | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
| 9 | Hull | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
| 10 | Ipswich | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 9 |
| 11 | Newcastle | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 8 |
| 12 | Aston Villa | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 8 |
| 13 | Man Utd | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 7 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 7 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 6 |
| 16 | Coventry | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 6 |
| 17 | Fulham | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 5 |
| 18 | Nottm Forest | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 |
| 19 | Sunderland | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 4 |
| 20 | Tottenham | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chelsea | Tottenham |
|---|---|---|
| Everton | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Brentford | 0-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Chelsea (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chelsea
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Everton England Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 10/10 | Bournemouth England Premier League |
2-0 | 5-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 18/09 | Brentford England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 12 | 2 | L |
| 12/09 | Hull England Premier League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 06/09 | Arsenal England Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 30/08 | Brighton England Premier League |
3-1 | 4-3 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 24/08 | Fulham England Premier League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Sunderland England Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 19/05 | Tottenham England Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 09/05 | Liverpool England Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
Tottenham
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Man Utd England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 19/09 | Aston Villa England Premier League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Everton England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 05/09 | Nottm Forest England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | Newcastle England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Brentford England Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | Everton England Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 19/05 | Chelsea England Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 11/05 | Leeds England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 14 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Aston Villa England Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chelsea vs Tottenham?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Chelsea win (56%). Probabilities: Chelsea 56%, draw 23%, Tottenham 21%.
How many goals are expected in Chelsea vs Tottenham?
The model expects 3.32 goals (Chelsea 2.09 · Tottenham 1.24), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Chelsea vs Tottenham?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.