Prediction: Man Utd vs Bournemouth
Team pages: Man Utd · Bournemouth
- Bournemouth2-2Man Utd
- Man Utd4-4Bournemouth
- Man Utd4-1Bournemouth
- Bournemouth1-1Man Utd
- Man Utd0-3Bournemouth
- Bournemouth2-2Man Utd
| Man Utd | Draw | Bournemouth | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 25% | 29% |
| Market | 45% | 26% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bournemouth (rating 1501 vs 1543).
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Man Utd | Bournemouth | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.2 | 1.2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 6 | 2 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.2 | 4.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Man Utd 1–4–1 Bournemouth
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/26 England Premier League | Bournemouth | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Man Utd |
| 15/12/25 England Premier League | Man Utd | 4-4 HT 2-1 | Bournemouth |
| 31/07/25 Elite Club Friendlies | Man Utd | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Bournemouth |
| 27/04/25 England Premier League | Bournemouth | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Man Utd |
| 22/12/24 England Premier League | Man Utd | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Bournemouth |
| 13/04/24 England Premier League | Bournemouth | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Man Utd |
Standings · England Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 18 |
| 3 | Brighton | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 5 | 16 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 13 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 12 |
| 6 | Brentford | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 10 |
| 7 | Leeds | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 10 |
| 8 | Everton | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
| 9 | Hull | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
| 10 | Ipswich | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 9 |
| 11 | Newcastle | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 8 |
| 12 | Aston Villa | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 8 |
| 13 | Man Utd | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 7 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 7 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 6 |
| 16 | Tottenham | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 6 |
| 17 | Coventry | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 6 |
| 18 | Fulham | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 5 |
| 19 | Nottm Forest | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 4 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Man Utd | Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| Fulham | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Man City | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Everton | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Nottm Forest | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Sunderland | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Bournemouth (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Man Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Leeds England Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 10/10 | Tottenham England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 20/09 | Fulham England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 13 | 3 | D |
| 13/09 | Man City England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | Everton England Premier League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 30/08 | Ipswich England Premier League |
1-1 | 5-2 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 22/08 | Hull England Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Brighton England Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Nottm Forest England Premier League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Sunderland England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
Bournemouth
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Sunderland England Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 10/10 | Chelsea England Premier League |
0-2 | 1-5 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 20/09 | Liverpool England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Brentford England Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 05/09 | Newcastle England Premier League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | Everton England Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 23/08 | Man City England Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Nottm Forest England Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 19/05 | Man City England Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | Fulham England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Man Utd vs Bournemouth?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Man Utd win (46%). Probabilities: Man Utd 46%, draw 25%, Bournemouth 29%.
How many goals are expected in Man Utd vs Bournemouth?
The model expects 3.28 goals (Man Utd 1.84 · Bournemouth 1.44), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Man Utd vs Bournemouth?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.