Prediction: Crystal Palace vs Newcastle
Team pages: Crystal Palace · Newcastle
- Crystal Palace2-1Newcastle
- Newcastle2-0Crystal Palace
- Newcastle5-0Crystal Palace
- Crystal Palace1-1Newcastle
- Crystal Palace2-0Newcastle
- Newcastle4-0Crystal Palace
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Newcastle | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 26% | 41% |
| Market | 33% | 26% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Newcastle: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Crystal Palace | Newcastle | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.4 | 1.4 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.4 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/20/70% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.3 | 2.7 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.1 | 4.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Crystal Palace 2–1–3 Newcastle
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 England Premier League | Crystal Palace | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Newcastle |
| 04/01/26 England Premier League | Newcastle | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Crystal Palace |
| 16/04/25 England Premier League | Newcastle | 5-0 HT 4-0 | Crystal Palace |
| 30/11/24 England Premier League | Crystal Palace | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Newcastle |
| 24/04/24 England Premier League | Crystal Palace | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Newcastle |
| 21/10/23 England Premier League | Newcastle | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Crystal Palace |
Standings · England Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 18 |
| 3 | Brighton | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 5 | 16 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 13 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 12 |
| 6 | Brentford | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 10 |
| 7 | Leeds | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 10 |
| 8 | Everton | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
| 9 | Hull | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
| 10 | Ipswich | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 9 |
| 11 | Newcastle | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 8 |
| 12 | Aston Villa | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 8 |
| 13 | Man Utd | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 7 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 7 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 6 |
| 16 | Tottenham | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 6 |
| 17 | Coventry | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 6 |
| 18 | Fulham | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 5 |
| 19 | Nottm Forest | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 4 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Crystal Palace | Newcastle |
|---|---|---|
| Nottm Forest | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Leeds | 0-0 D | 1-4 L |
| Fulham | 3-2 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 0 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Crystal Palace (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Crystal Palace
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Brighton England Premier League |
0-3 | 0-5 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 11/10 | Nottm Forest England Premier League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 20/09 | Leeds England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 12/09 | Ipswich England Premier League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | Fulham England Premier League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 28/08 | Man City England Premier League |
0-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Everton England Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Arsenal England Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Brentford England Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 13/05 | Man City England Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
Newcastle
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Aston Villa England Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 12/10 | Coventry England Premier League |
0-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 19/09 | Hull England Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 14/09 | Leeds England Premier League |
0-3 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Bournemouth England Premier League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | Tottenham England Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Liverpool England Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 24/05 | Fulham England Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | West Ham England Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Nottm Forest England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Crystal Palace vs Newcastle?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Newcastle win (41%). Probabilities: Crystal Palace 33%, draw 26%, Newcastle 41%.
How many goals are expected in Crystal Palace vs Newcastle?
The model expects 3.17 goals (Crystal Palace 1.49 · Newcastle 1.69), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Crystal Palace vs Newcastle?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.