Prediction: Sunderland vs Leeds
Team pages: Sunderland · Leeds
- Leeds1-0Sunderland
- Leeds0-1Sunderland
- Sunderland1-1Leeds
- Leeds2-1Sunderland
- Sunderland2-2Leeds
- Leeds0-0Sunderland
| Sunderland | Draw | Leeds | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 32% | 39% |
| Market | 30% | 30% | 40% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Leeds: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sunderland | Leeds | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.6 | 1.1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 4.4 | 2.1 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.4 | 3.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sunderland 1–3–2 Leeds
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07/26 Club Friendly List | Leeds | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Sunderland |
| 03/03/26 England Premier League | Leeds | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Sunderland |
| 28/12/25 England Premier League | Sunderland | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Leeds |
| 17/02/25 England Championship | Leeds | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Sunderland |
| 04/10/24 England Championship | Sunderland | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Leeds |
| 09/04/24 England Championship | Leeds | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sunderland |
Standings · England Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 18 |
| 3 | Brighton | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 5 | 16 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 13 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 12 |
| 6 | Brentford | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 10 |
| 7 | Leeds | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 10 |
| 8 | Everton | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
| 9 | Hull | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
| 10 | Ipswich | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 9 |
| 11 | Newcastle | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 8 |
| 12 | Aston Villa | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 8 |
| 13 | Man Utd | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 7 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 7 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 6 |
| 16 | Tottenham | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 6 |
| 17 | Coventry | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 6 |
| 18 | Fulham | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 5 |
| 19 | Nottm Forest | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 4 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sunderland | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| Brighton | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Arsenal | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Brentford | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Man Utd | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 2 L | 0 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Leeds (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sunderland
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Bournemouth England Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 10/10 | Brighton England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 20/09 | Man City England Premier League |
2-3 | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 12/09 | Arsenal England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 05/09 | Brentford England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 30/08 | Fulham England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 22/08 | Ipswich England Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Chelsea England Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 17/05 | Everton England Premier League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Man Utd England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
Leeds
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Man Utd England Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 10/10 | Arsenal England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 20/09 | Crystal Palace England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 14/09 | Newcastle England Premier League |
3-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Brighton England Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 30/08 | Brentford England Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Nottm Forest England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | West Ham England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Brighton England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 11/05 | Tottenham England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sunderland vs Leeds?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Leeds win (40%). Probabilities: Sunderland 29%, draw 31%, Leeds 40%.
How many goals are expected in Sunderland vs Leeds?
The model expects 2.19 goals (Sunderland 0.99 · Leeds 1.2), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Sunderland vs Leeds?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.