Prediction: Nottm Forest vs Arsenal
Team pages: Nottm Forest · Arsenal
- Nottm Forest0-0Arsenal
- Arsenal3-0Nottm Forest
- Nottm Forest0-0Arsenal
- Arsenal3-0Nottm Forest
- Nottm Forest1-2Arsenal
- Arsenal2-1Nottm Forest
| Nottm Forest | Draw | Arsenal | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 15% | 28% | 57% |
| Market | 18% | 22% | 60% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arsenal (rating 1464 vs 1626).
- H2H favours Arsenal: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nottm Forest | Arsenal | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.4 | 1.7 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 0.8 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4 | 1.8 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0 | 4.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nottm Forest 0–2–4 Arsenal
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/26 England Premier League | Nottm Forest | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Arsenal |
| 13/09/25 England Premier League | Arsenal | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Nottm Forest |
| 26/02/25 England Premier League | Nottm Forest | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Arsenal |
| 23/11/24 England Premier League | Arsenal | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Nottm Forest |
| 30/01/24 England Premier League | Nottm Forest | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Arsenal |
| 12/08/23 England Premier League | Arsenal | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Nottm Forest |
Standings · England Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 15 |
| 3 | Brighton | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 13 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 12 |
| 6 | Brentford | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 10 |
| 7 | Everton | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
| 8 | Leeds | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| 9 | Hull | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
| 10 | Ipswich | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 9 |
| 11 | Newcastle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 8 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 7 |
| 13 | Man Utd | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 6 |
| 14 | Coventry | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 6 |
| 15 | Fulham | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 5 |
| 16 | Nottm Forest | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 5 |
| 17 | Aston Villa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 5 |
| 18 | Sunderland | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 4 |
| 19 | Bournemouth | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 3 |
| 20 | Tottenham | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nottm Forest | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 1-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Coventry | 0-1 L | 3-0 W |
| Aston Villa | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Leeds | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Chelsea | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 5 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Arsenal (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nottm Forest
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Crystal Palace England Premier League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | Coventry England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 12/09 | Aston Villa England Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 05/09 | Tottenham England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | Liverpool England Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 22/08 | Leeds England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Bournemouth England Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Man Utd England Premier League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Newcastle England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 04/05 | Chelsea England Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
Arsenal
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Leeds England Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 19/09 | Brighton England Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | Sunderland England Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 06/09 | Chelsea England Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 31/08 | Aston Villa England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 21/08 | Coventry England Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | Crystal Palace England Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 18/05 | Burnley England Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | West Ham England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 02/05 | Fulham England Premier League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nottm Forest vs Arsenal?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Arsenal win (59%). Probabilities: Nottm Forest 16%, draw 25%, Arsenal 59%.
How many goals are expected in Nottm Forest vs Arsenal?
The model expects 2.14 goals (Nottm Forest 0.64 · Arsenal 1.5), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Nottm Forest vs Arsenal?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.