Prediction: Tottenham vs Crystal Palace
Team pages: Tottenham · Crystal Palace
- Tottenham1-3Crystal Palace
- Crystal Palace0-1Tottenham
- Tottenham0-2Crystal Palace
- Crystal Palace1-0Tottenham
- Tottenham3-1Crystal Palace
- Crystal Palace1-2Tottenham
| Tottenham | Draw | Crystal Palace | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 23% | 16% |
| Market | 61% | 22% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tottenham (rating 1507 vs 1461).
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tottenham | Crystal Palace | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.2 | 1.2 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6.3 | 1.8 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.2 | 3.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tottenham 3–0–3 Crystal Palace
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/03/26 England Premier League | Tottenham | 1-3 HT 1-3 | Crystal Palace |
| 28/12/25 England Premier League | Crystal Palace | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Tottenham |
| 11/05/25 England Premier League | Tottenham | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Crystal Palace |
| 27/10/24 England Premier League | Crystal Palace | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Tottenham |
| 02/03/24 England Premier League | Tottenham | 3-1 HT 0-0 | Crystal Palace |
| 27/10/23 England Premier League | Crystal Palace | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Tottenham |
Standings · England Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 21 |
| 3 | Brighton | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 15 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 13 |
| 6 | Brentford | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 11 |
| 7 | Leeds | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 11 |
| 8 | Newcastle | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 11 |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 11 |
| 10 | Hull | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 10 |
| 11 | Everton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| 12 | Ipswich | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 10 |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 9 |
| 14 | Tottenham | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 9 |
| 15 | Fulham | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 8 |
| 16 | Man Utd | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 7 |
| 17 | Crystal Palace | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 7 |
| 18 | Nottm Forest | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 6 |
| 19 | Coventry | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 6 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 5 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tottenham | Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|
| Everton | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Nottm Forest | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| Newcastle | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Brentford | 0-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Crystal Palace (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tottenham
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Chelsea England Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 19/10 | Coventry England Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 10/10 | Man Utd England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 19/09 | Aston Villa England Premier League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Everton England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 05/09 | Nottm Forest England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | Newcastle England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Brentford England Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | Everton England Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 19/05 | Chelsea England Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
Crystal Palace
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Newcastle England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 18/10 | Brighton England Premier League |
0-3 | 0-5 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 11/10 | Nottm Forest England Premier League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 20/09 | Leeds England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 12/09 | Ipswich England Premier League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | Fulham England Premier League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 28/08 | Man City England Premier League |
0-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Everton England Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Arsenal England Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Brentford England Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tottenham vs Crystal Palace?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tottenham win (61%). Probabilities: Tottenham 61%, draw 23%, Crystal Palace 17%.
How many goals are expected in Tottenham vs Crystal Palace?
The model expects 2.91 goals (Tottenham 1.97 · Crystal Palace 0.94), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Tottenham vs Crystal Palace?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.