Prediction: Aston Villa vs Fulham
Team pages: Aston Villa · Fulham
- Fulham1-0Aston Villa
- Aston Villa3-1Fulham
- Aston Villa1-0Fulham
- Fulham1-3Aston Villa
- Fulham1-2Aston Villa
- Aston Villa3-1Fulham
| Aston Villa | Draw | Fulham | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 27% | 25% |
| Market | 49% | 25% | 26% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aston Villa (rating 1597 vs 1524).
- H2H favours Aston Villa: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Aston Villa | Fulham | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.5 | 1.1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.4 | 3 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.1 | 2.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aston Villa 5–0–1 Fulham
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 England Premier League | Fulham | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Aston Villa |
| 28/09/25 England Premier League | Aston Villa | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Fulham |
| 03/05/25 England Premier League | Aston Villa | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Fulham |
| 19/10/24 England Premier League | Fulham | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Aston Villa |
| 17/02/24 England Premier League | Fulham | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Aston Villa |
| 12/11/23 England Premier League | Aston Villa | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Fulham |
Standings · England Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 21 |
| 3 | Brighton | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 15 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 13 |
| 6 | Brentford | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 11 |
| 7 | Leeds | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 11 |
| 8 | Newcastle | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 11 |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 11 |
| 10 | Hull | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 10 |
| 11 | Everton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| 12 | Ipswich | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 10 |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 9 |
| 14 | Tottenham | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 9 |
| 15 | Fulham | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 8 |
| 16 | Man Utd | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 7 |
| 17 | Crystal Palace | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 7 |
| 18 | Nottm Forest | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 6 |
| 19 | Coventry | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 6 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 5 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Aston Villa | Fulham |
|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Hull | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Liverpool | 4-2 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Fulham (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aston Villa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Man City England Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 17/10 | Newcastle England Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 10/10 | Brentford England Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 19/09 | Tottenham England Premier League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Nottm Forest England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 05/09 | Hull England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 31/08 | Arsenal England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Brighton England Premier League |
0-4 | 0-4 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | Man City England Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 15/05 | Liverpool England Premier League |
1-0 | 4-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
Fulham
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Coventry England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 17/10 | Hull England Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 10/10 | Ipswich England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 20/09 | Man Utd England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 12/09 | Liverpool England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 05/09 | Crystal Palace England Premier League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 30/08 | Sunderland England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 24/08 | Chelsea England Premier League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | Newcastle England Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Wolverhampton England Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aston Villa vs Fulham?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Aston Villa win (49%). Probabilities: Aston Villa 49%, draw 26%, Fulham 26%.
How many goals are expected in Aston Villa vs Fulham?
The model expects 2.77 goals (Aston Villa 1.64 · Fulham 1.13), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Aston Villa vs Fulham?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.