Prediction: Man City vs Brighton
Team pages: Man City · Brighton
- Man City1-1Brighton
- Brighton2-1Man City
- Man City2-2Brighton
- Brighton2-1Man City
- Brighton0-4Man City
- Man City2-1Brighton
| Man City | Draw | Brighton | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 24% | 20% |
| Market | 57% | 23% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Man City | Brighton | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.2 | 2.3 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 6.1 | 2.2 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.2 | 2.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Man City 2–2–2 Brighton
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/01/26 England Premier League | Man City | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Brighton |
| 31/08/25 England Premier League | Brighton | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Man City |
| 15/03/25 England Premier League | Man City | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Brighton |
| 09/11/24 England Premier League | Brighton | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Man City |
| 25/04/24 England Premier League | Brighton | 0-4 HT 0-3 | Man City |
| 21/10/23 England Premier League | Man City | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Brighton |
Standings · England Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 21 |
| 3 | Brighton | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 15 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 13 |
| 6 | Brentford | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 11 |
| 7 | Leeds | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 11 |
| 8 | Newcastle | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 11 |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 11 |
| 10 | Hull | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 10 |
| 11 | Everton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| 12 | Ipswich | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 10 |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 9 |
| 14 | Tottenham | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 9 |
| 15 | Fulham | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 8 |
| 16 | Man Utd | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 7 |
| 17 | Crystal Palace | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 7 |
| 18 | Nottm Forest | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 6 |
| 19 | Coventry | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 6 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 5 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Man City | Brighton |
|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 1-2 L | 4-0 W |
| Liverpool | 3-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Sunderland | 5-3 W | 2-0 W |
| Man Utd | 1-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Coventry | 1-0 W | 5-0 W |
| Crystal Palace | 4-1 W | 5-0 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 1 L | 4 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Brighton (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Man City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Aston Villa England Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 17/10 | Ipswich England Premier League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 11/10 | Liverpool England Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 20/09 | Sunderland England Premier League |
3-2 | 5-3 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 13/09 | Man Utd England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Coventry England Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 28/08 | Crystal Palace England Premier League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Bournemouth England Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Aston Villa England Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 19/05 | Bournemouth England Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
Brighton
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Liverpool England Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 18/10 | Crystal Palace England Premier League |
3-0 | 5-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 10/10 | Sunderland England Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 19/09 | Arsenal England Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | Coventry England Premier League |
1-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 05/09 | Leeds England Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 30/08 | Chelsea England Premier League |
1-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Aston Villa England Premier League |
4-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 24/05 | Man Utd England Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Leeds England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Man City vs Brighton?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Man City win (56%). Probabilities: Man City 56%, draw 23%, Brighton 21%.
How many goals are expected in Man City vs Brighton?
The model expects 3.11 goals (Man City 1.98 · Brighton 1.13), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Man City vs Brighton?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.