Football · England Premier League · 31/10, 16:00
Prediction: Brentford vs Nottm Forest
Team pages: Brentford · Nottm Forest
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.69Total
Brentford1.57
Nottm Forest1.11
1X2
Brentford
Draw
Nottm Forest
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Brentford
2-7-1 (W-D-L)
Nottm Forest
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Brentford
2–1–3
Nottm Forest
(6 last)
- Brentford0-2Nottm Forest
- Nottm Forest3-1Brentford
- Nottm Forest0-2Brentford
- Brentford0-2Nottm Forest
- Brentford3-2Nottm Forest
- Nottm Forest1-1Brentford
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Brentford 1537 · Nottm Forest 1463
| Brentford | Draw | Nottm Forest | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 28% | 26% |
| Market | 47% | 27% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brentford (rating 1537 vs 1463).
- H2H favours Nottm Forest: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Brentford | Nottm Forest | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.2 | 0.9 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.4 | 2.3 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.2 | 3.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Brentford 2–1–3 Nottm Forest
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/26 England Premier League | Brentford | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Nottm Forest |
| 17/08/25 England Premier League | Nottm Forest | 3-1 HT 3-0 | Brentford |
| 01/05/25 England Premier League | Nottm Forest | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Brentford |
| 21/12/24 England Premier League | Brentford | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Nottm Forest |
| 20/01/24 England Premier League | Brentford | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Nottm Forest |
| 01/10/23 England Premier League | Nottm Forest | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Brentford |
Standings · England Premier League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 21 |
| 3 | Brighton | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 15 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 13 |
| 6 | Brentford | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 11 |
| 7 | Leeds | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 11 |
| 8 | Newcastle | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 11 |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 11 |
| 10 | Hull | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 10 |
| 11 | Everton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| 12 | Ipswich | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 10 |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 9 |
| 14 | Tottenham | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 9 |
| 15 | Fulham | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 8 |
| 16 | Man Utd | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 7 |
| 17 | Crystal Palace | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 7 |
| 18 | Nottm Forest | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 6 |
| 19 | Coventry | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 6 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 5 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Brentford | Nottm Forest |
|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Aston Villa | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Bournemouth | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Leeds | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Tottenham | 3-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Crystal Palace | 2-2 D | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 4 D 1 L | 1 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Brentford (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Brentford
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Hull England Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 17/10 | Liverpool England Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 10/10 | Aston Villa England Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 18/09 | Chelsea England Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | Bournemouth England Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 05/09 | Sunderland England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 30/08 | Leeds England Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Tottenham England Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | Liverpool England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Crystal Palace England Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | D |
Nottm Forest
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Ipswich England Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 18/10 | Arsenal England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 11/10 | Crystal Palace England Premier League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | Coventry England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 12/09 | Aston Villa England Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 05/09 | Tottenham England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | Liverpool England Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 22/08 | Leeds England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Bournemouth England Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Man Utd England Premier League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Brentford vs Nottm Forest?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Brentford win (47%). Probabilities: Brentford 47%, draw 27%, Nottm Forest 26%.
How many goals are expected in Brentford vs Nottm Forest?
The model expects 2.69 goals (Brentford 1.57 · Nottm Forest 1.11), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Brentford vs Nottm Forest?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.