Prediction: Sunderland vs Chelsea
Team pages: Sunderland · Chelsea
- Sunderland2-1Chelsea
- Chelsea1-2Sunderland
- Chelsea5-1Sunderland
- Sunderland0-1Chelsea
- Sunderland3-2Chelsea
- Chelsea3-1Sunderland
| Sunderland | Draw | Chelsea | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 25% | 49% |
| Market | 25% | 26% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chelsea (rating 1495 vs 1538).
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sunderland | Chelsea | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.8 | 2 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.4 | 2.5 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.5 | 5.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sunderland 3–0–3 Chelsea
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/26 England Premier League | Sunderland | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Chelsea |
| 25/10/25 England Premier League | Chelsea | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Sunderland |
| 21/05/17 England Premier League | Chelsea | 5-1 HT 1-1 | Sunderland |
| 14/12/16 England Premier League | Sunderland | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Chelsea |
| 07/05/16 England Premier League | Sunderland | 3-2 HT 1-2 | Chelsea |
| 19/12/15 England Premier League | Chelsea | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Sunderland |
Standings · England Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 27 |
| 2 | Man City | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 21 |
| 3 | Brighton | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 16 |
| 5 | Everton | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 16 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | Brentford | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 14 |
| 8 | Leeds | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 14 |
| 9 | Bournemouth | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 12 |
| 10 | Tottenham | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
| 11 | Newcastle | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 12 |
| 12 | Aston Villa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 12 |
| 13 | Hull | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 11 |
| 14 | Ipswich | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 18 | 11 |
| 15 | Fulham | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 10 |
| 16 | Coventry | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 9 |
| 17 | Man Utd | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 7 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 7 |
| 19 | Nottm Forest | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 6 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 5 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sunderland | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth | 0-2 L | 5-1 W |
| Brighton | 0-2 L | 4-3 W |
| Arsenal | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Brentford | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Fulham | 1-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 3 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Chelsea (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sunderland
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Coventry England Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 25/10 | Leeds England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 18/10 | Bournemouth England Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 10/10 | Brighton England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 20/09 | Man City England Premier League |
2-3 | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 12/09 | Arsenal England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 05/09 | Brentford England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 30/08 | Fulham England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 22/08 | Ipswich England Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Chelsea England Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 9 | W |
Chelsea
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Man Utd England Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 24/10 | Tottenham England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 17/10 | Everton England Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 10/10 | Bournemouth England Premier League |
2-0 | 5-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 18/09 | Brentford England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 12 | 2 | L |
| 12/09 | Hull England Premier League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 06/09 | Arsenal England Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 30/08 | Brighton England Premier League |
3-1 | 4-3 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 24/08 | Fulham England Premier League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Sunderland England Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sunderland vs Chelsea?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Chelsea win (49%). Probabilities: Sunderland 26%, draw 25%, Chelsea 49%.
How many goals are expected in Sunderland vs Chelsea?
The model expects 3.21 goals (Sunderland 1.33 · Chelsea 1.88), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Sunderland vs Chelsea?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.